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« Reply #25 on: October 17, 2020, 03:15:33 PM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Exit Poll):

6:55 PM:
Wolf Blitzer: Lets go over now to John King to look at our exit poll for tonight

King: Ok here are what are exit polls are saying

Gender:
Male: 47%; Guiliani 52% Warner 47%
Female:53%; Warner 52% Guiliani 47%

Race:

White: 75% ; Guiliani 57% Warner 42%
African American: 12% ; Warner 91% Guiliani 8%
Hispanic: 9%; Warner 62% Guliani 37%
Asian: 2%; Warner 59% Guiliani 40%
Other: 2%; Warner 62% Guiliani 32%

Age:

18-29: 17% ; Warner 58% Guiliani 41%
30-44: 29% ; Guiliani 50% Warner 49%
45-64: 38% ; Guliani 51% Warner 48%
65+: 16%; Guiliani 50% Warner 50%


Income:

Under 50k: 38%: Warner 56% Guiliani 43%
50k-100k: 36%: Guiliani 51% Warner 48%
100k+ : 26%: Guiliani 54% Warner 45%


King: This race is going to be very close with the slight edge to Senator Warner we would say but we are headed for a long election night like expected and really it can go either way.

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« Reply #26 on: October 18, 2020, 04:06:36 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2020, 04:09:45 PM by Old School Republican »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 1):

7:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: Welcome to CNN's coverage of the 2008 election, after the longest campaign in history the American people will finally make their decision on who will be the 44th president of the United States. This is shaping up to be another close race so lets get right to it and the polls have closed in a few states and we can project that Governor Warner will win his home state of Virginia and its 13 electoral votes becoming the first Democrat since 1964 to take the state, and will also carry the state of Vermont and its 3 electoral votes while we can project that Mayor Guiliani will carry the ruby red state of Indiana . We are currently unable to make projections in Kentucky, Georgia, South Carolina or Florida




Warner 16
Guiliani 11

Gergen: Governor Warner was very popular in Virginia and was up double digits here so despite its Republican history , the Republicans triaged the state so thats no surprise. Also Virginia has trended Democratic the past 4 years due to Northern Virginia exploding in population but while yes the Republicans can counter that by running up margins in the rest of Virginia thats just not possible against someone like Mark Warner.

Blitzer: So let me open up to the panel what do you guys think of the exit poll

Brown: Well its pretty clear we are gonna be in for a long night again but right now Governor Warner does have the slight edge if you forced me too choose who I think would win from looking at those numbers

Cooper: I would agree and one thing that is interesting is that the income gap and that is that Governor Warner managed to do better with low income voters than Mayor Guiliani did with high income voters which is good news for Governor Warner.

7:30:

Blitzer: The polls have closed in 3 major battleground states and as expected we are right now unable to make projections in North Carolina, West Virginia and Ohio.



Blitzer: Lets go over to John King at the magic wall to look at how things are going in Florida

King: Well Florida is going like we expected and that is the Republicans are performing around they did  4 years ago in South East Florida but the Democrats are making some gains in the panhandle too from 4 years ago so the question is will that be enough. Right now the numbers look good for Mayor Guiliani here like the polls indicated but there is still ways to go.

Blitzer: What about in the seante

King: Lets first start in Kentucky a race many Democrats believe the can knock of the Republican leader Mitch McConnell and around 60% of the vote has come in and we can see that the Democratic Bruce Lunsford is performing really well in Eastern Kentucky like expected and in the far west so right now this race is looking very similar to the race 4 years ago here which the Republicans narrowly pulled it out. This one probably wont get decided until all the votes are in. In Virginia the Republicans are ahead but again ill warn you not much in Fairfax county has come in so its too early to make a prediction on that yet and in Georgia so far Governor Barnes has picked up support in Rural Georgia where Mayor Guiliani might drag down the ticket due to his views on guns and is making inroads in the Atlanta suburbs so this is another race which will go down to the wire.

7:54:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that the state of South Carolina will be won by Mayor Guiliani which is no surprise. Out of the states that have not been called so far Mayor Guiliani holds a lead in Florida , Kentucky with now over 2/3 of the preciencts in both those states, a solid lead in Georgia but due to the slow manner the results there are reported it could be a couple hours before we can make any call there. Right now in West Virginia Governor Warner holds a narrow lead but there is still much of the vote to come in and in Ohio and North Carolina while it may seem like Governor Warner lead is large much of the Republican areas of the states are yet to come in so it will likely be close there as well.



Giuliani 19
Warner 16

Blitzer:  We will now take a break and come back in a few minutes when the polls close in many more states so stay with us.


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« Reply #27 on: October 18, 2020, 04:11:19 PM »

Great work so far.

Will you make a result list by state at the end?

I plan to list the states which are within 10 points. A full list depends on the time I have
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Computer89
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« Reply #28 on: October 18, 2020, 04:45:52 PM »

Great work so far.

Will you make a result list by state at the end?

I plan to list the states which are within 10 points. A full list depends on the time I have

Good.

If you need a template from my result above, let me know. I have a full Excel where you only have to fill in the percentages and insert the total number of votes cast by C&P from Wikipedia.

Thanks
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Computer89
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« Reply #29 on: October 19, 2020, 02:39:56 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 11:31:54 AM by Old School Republican »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 2):

8:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU


Blitzer: Its 8 PM in the East and CNN can now project that Governor Warner will carry the states of Connecticut, Deleware, Illinois ,  Maryland, Massachusetts and the District of Columbia while Mayor Guiliani will carry the states of Alabama, Oklahoma  and Tennessee  . We are currently unable to make projections in Florida, Maine , Mississippi, Missouri, New Hamphsire, New Jersey and Pennsylvania



Warner 72
Guiliani 46

Brown: An interesting fact is that for the first time recent memory there is a chance Pennsylvania could go Republican while Ohio could go Democrat , so John why is that

King: Well first to remind everyone that 4 years ago President Bush won Ohio by 2.1 points and lost Pennsylvania by 2.5 points so there wasnt a big difference. Now if you look at the map in Pennsylvania of 4 years ago you can see Senator Kerry margins came from the cities: Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Scranton, and his strength in the Philli suburbs . Mayor Gulinai believes he can make major inroads here in the Philli metro, starting in Philadelphia where he believes he can hold the Democrats from over a 60 point margin to a little under 50 which alone would net him 75000 votes which alone would wipe out more than half of Senator Kerry's margin and if you go along the Philli suburbs you can see he can easily make up that deficit here along although one potential problem is the western half of the state will likely swing to the Democrats so that will counter that trend.

On the other hand in Ohio, there is no place in the state where Mayor Guliani can really out perform President Bushs so that makes it harder for him to win Ohio than Pennsylvania. Take Hamilton County for example a big republican area of the state and the problem for Mayor Guiliani is the county has lots of Christian Conservatives so that makes him a worse fit than President Bush was. The Cleveland area has turned big against the Republican in the past 4 years so again he likely will do worse than President Bush did. So the question is the drop enough small enough for him to carry it

Brown: Many have said Pennsylvania can replace Ohio this year, so can it for the Republicans

King: Well lets go over to the what if map and if you give Governor Warner Ohio and West Virginia two places he is leading now he gets to 259 EV. Now here is the problem for Mayor Guiliani and that is even if you give him Pennslyvania, North Carolina, Arkansas, 3 EV in Maine all the states out west he only gets to 258 Electoral votes meaning he must win both Missouri and Wisconsin in order to win. The Reason for that is with the Democrats really likely to take the house and senate a 269-269 tie would go to the Democrats so even if you give Missouri to Mayor Guiliani and Wisconsin to Governor Warner its still a win for Governor Warner. The problem is its very hard to see Mayor Guiliani take both those states in a night he is losing Ohio so more realistically he must find a way to turn West Virginia back into his favor then he only needs one but even that is hard in a night he is losing Ohio. There is a reason why no Republican has ever won the white house without winning Ohio and looking at the What If Map i dont see that changing tonight

Brown: Back to Wolf who has a major projection to make right now

Breaking News: Democrats keep control of the House of Representatives:
Blitzer: Yes and that CNN can now project the Democrats will retain the House of Representatives and have anywhere from 233 seats to 246 seats at the end of the night

Cooper: Well now its clear a 269-269 scenario will go towards the Democrats

Dobbs: Well and even if Mayor Guiliani pulls out it tonight its very hard to see conservatives getting much wins over the next 4 years seeing the shape of congress.


8:30:

Blitzer: The polls have closed in Arkansas and currently we are unable to make a projection in the state. On the other hand we can project that the state of Kentucky will be won by Mayor Guiliani when all the votes are counted



Warner 72
Guiliani 54

Cooper: This was expected but it was only a lean state

Brown: That is not the only race in Kentucky though and lets go over to John King to see the other race

King: Cambell, Senator McConnell must be very worried now as he still trails by around 2 points but some encouraging news is the Republican areas of the states in the Cincinnati suburbs still have many votes to come in but again so does a a little bit Jefferson County and a little bit in Fayette so the only question is will those suburbs will have enough. At this point I will say he is the clear underdog but we will wait for all the votes to come in which should happen by 9:30-9:45 .

Brown: So Democrats could do to the Republicans what Republicans did to them 4 years ago but my question is how are some of the other races going

King: Yes McConnell could end up like Dashale very much. The Other races well lets start with Georgia and you can see Senator Chambliss is not putting up the numbers he needs in these rural counties , is breaking even with what a republican needs in the exurbs so now we are waiting for more but this is a pure tossup at the moment. In North Carolina, Mrs. Hagan holds a big lead but much of the Republican areas are still to come in so its to early while in Virginia its the exact opposite.

Brown: Lets go over to our panel here and see their thoughts

Gergen: Well at this point i dont think anyone can still say who will win but Governor Warner still holds a small advantage

O'Brien : Right now I would say this election probably will be decided by 3 states either Ohio again, North Carolina or Missouri

8:50:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Mayor Guiliani will carry the state of Georgia and its 15 electoral votes while Governor Warner will carry the state of New Jersey and its 15 electoral votes



Warner 87
Guiliani 69

Cooper: Many in the Warner camp thought maybe they had a shot of Georgia but it was always gonna be tough

Gergen: Yes it would be but he probably will be within 5 to 6 points but the fact is the state at a Presidential level is too Republican for a Democrat to win it but as John said earlier at the senate level , they may have a Democratic senator .
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« Reply #30 on: October 20, 2020, 08:29:09 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2020, 09:01:31 PM by Old School Republican »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 3):

9:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: Its 9 in the east and CNN can now project that Governor Warner will win the state of New York and Rhode Island while Mayor Guiliani will win the states of Texas, Kansas, 4 of the 5 electoral votes in Nebraska, North and South Dakota , and Wyoming . We are unable to make a call at this moment in Arizona, Colorado , Lousiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska 2nd district, New Mexico, and Wisconsin



Warner 122
Guiliani 122

Brown: Lets go over to John King and the magic wall to see how things are in the battlegrounds

King: Well first lets look at Ohio the main battleground state and what you see is that its a close race and as you can see that Governor Warner is performing really well in the North East parts of the state, while Mayor Guliani is performing really well in the central parts  as well. Now what is the worry for the mayor Guliani camp and that is South Eastern Ohio is swinging more Democratic from where it was 4 years ago and Hamilton County right now is tied a county that Republicans need generally to win the state.  On the other hand there is a lot of the vote to come so we dont know.

On the other hand In Pennslyvania, things are looking good for mayor Guiliani as right now Governor Warner margin here is 48 points compared to 61 points Seantor Kerry won by and throughout the suburban counties you can see he had made major inroads like Montgomery which Senator Kerry won by double digits while Governor Warner is winning by around 5 points so right now I would say Pennsylvania looks good for Mayor Guliani.

Brown: lets go over to Wolf as he hs a call to make

Blitzer: Yes and that is we can now project that Mayor Guliani will carry the state of New Hampshire and its 4 electoral votes



Guiliani 126
Warner 122


Cooper: It was expected but its a flip from 4 years ago

Gergen: Mayor Guliani is probably the best fit the Republicans have nominated for the North East since 1988 so this is no surprise that he is doing better than any Republican has in many years there.

9:30:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Governor Warner will carry the state of Michigan and also carry the battleground state of West Virginia and its 5 electoral votes while we can also project that Mayor Guiliani will carry the state of Mississippi and its 6 electoral votes .



Warner 144
Guiliani 132

Blitzer: Lets go to Candy Crowley who is in Richmond, Virginia to see a reaction of the crowd

Crowley: The crowd as you can see is cheering loudly at the call that West Virginia is going to Governor Warner as its a state similar to a part of Virginia Governor Warner always has done in prior state wide runs so they were counting on the state and it delivered

Brown: Lets go over to John King to find out the significance of that call

King: Well it is significant cause if you look at the what if map that means that if Governor Warner wins Ohio , just winning one of Wiscosnin, Missouri and North Carolina will put him over the top. First lets look at Missouri and you can see that Governor Warner is doing well in St Louis, Kansas City and is currently ahead in the belweather clay county so right now I would say he is favored here in Missouri though there is still a long way to go. In North Carolina while Governor Warner is ahead , Mayor Guiliani is not doing as bad in the suburbs as the Democrats might have hoped so right now id say the Mayor is favored here but it will be close. Regardless with Ohio, Missouri is all Governor Warner needs so Ohio will be more critical


Borger: I fully agree and as of this moment I cannot see Governor Warner losing in Wisconsin or Minnesota either so in my opinion just like 4 years ago we are coming down to whoever wins Ohio will be the next president.


Blitzer: Stand by as we have a major projection to make and that is that Senator Sununu will be reelected in New Hampshire but in North Carolina the Democrat Kay Hagan will unseat seantor Elizabeth Dole. So so far the Democrats have gained 1 seat tonight. So now lets look at our senate battleground tracker

Democratic Gains: NC
Democratic Holds:
Undecided Battlegrounds: KY, VA, MS-S, GA, LA, MN, CO , NM, OR, AK, CT(Lieberman's Party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH



9:45:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Mayor Guiliani will carry Lousiana and its 9 electoral votes



Warner 144
Guiliani 141

Blitzer: CNN can also now project that in the Kentucky Senate Race the Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell will go down in defeat to Democrat Bruce Lunsford which will be a major major blow to Senate Republicans as they now will have their third seante leader in just 3 years.  We can also project that Senator Roger wicker will defeat former Governor Ronnie Musgrove in Mississippi and will serve out the term of retired seantor Trent Lott.  Lets now look at the Senate Battleground

Democratic Gains: NC, KY
Democratic Holds:
Undecided Battlegrounds: VA, GA, LA, MN, CO , NM, OR, AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S


Martin: This is a huge defeat for the Republicans and many Democrats believe this is their reenge from 2004 when Republicans took down their senate leader Tom Daschale in a similarly tighly contested race . Similalry this night looks very similar to 2004 except with the parties reversed with it coming down to Ohio except this time the Democrats have the edge


Gergen: I defintely agree with that comparision and the way its coming out the Democrats could have 55 seante seats to at the end of the night if they pick up Virginia, New Mexico and Colorado like they are expected to which would be the exact number the Republicans back in 2004.

Cooper: Isnt it possible that number would be 56 if Lieberman stays a Democrat

Gergen: After the way he spoke at the Republican convention and campaigned for the Republicans I highly doubt they would let him be in their caucus as there really is no functional difference between 55 or 56 and really the only way i see him being allowed to stay in is if somehow the Democrats have 52 or less seats or get to 58 or more but nothing in between. Thats the reason we put CT up in a gold tile on the senate battleground as while his seat is not up which party he will caucus with in January is basically up for grabs .


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« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2020, 01:53:02 PM »


I think Warner wins it as he was very popular in Appaclahian VA even in 2008 and Rudy in 2008 was pretty anti gun for a Republican while Warner was pretty pro-gun for a Dem so I think WV goes to Warner for that.

Im sure the best news for you though is McConnell going down in defeat right
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« Reply #32 on: October 23, 2020, 01:05:04 PM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 4):

10:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: Its 10 pm in the east and we can now project that Mayor Guiliani will carry the states of Utah and Montana while Governor Warner will carry the state of Iowa along with Minnesota . We are currently unable to make a projection in Nevada



Warner 161
Guiliani 149

Blitzer: We also have some breaking news to project and that is

Breaking News: Democrats Keep Control of the Senate:
Blitzer: We can now project the Democrats will keep control of the United States Seante as CNN can now project that in Iowa Democratic Senator Tom Harkin will be reelected, in Montana Seantor Max Baucus will be reelected and in New Mexico Democrat Tom Udall will be the next senator of the state. Those 3 wins will mean Democrats will control at least 52 seats meaning they will retain their majority.

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM
Democratic Holds:
Undecided Battlegrounds: VA, GA, LA, MN, CO , OR, AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S


Martin: That was no surprise but it does show that even if Mayor Guiliani wins our nation will move in a more liberal direction cause the fact is if he wants to get anything done he will have to deal with a solidly Democratic Congress with Democrats probably have anywhere from 55 to 58 Senate seats and  240-242 house seats.

Gergen: Not only that but look who the Republicans nominated, they did not nominate someone from the South or West but from metropolitan eastern city , have nominated someone who is not socially conservative and some could argue socially liberal given his positions on guns, and abortion so the fact is either way we are probably gonna move in a more liberal direction for the next 4 years.


Blitzer: We have some major news to project and that is the state of Florida and its 27 electoral votes will be won tonight by Mayor Guiliani



Guiliani 176
Warner 161

Brown: Lets go over to John King and find out why we were able to call this early

King: Well that is despite underperforming President Bush in the panhandle the Republican overperformed him in the more populated areas down South East and we expect the margin to be around 4 to 5 points overall for them so similar to how it was 4 years ago. Now the question is the 5 major battlegrounds and lets start with the big one Ohio where Governor Warner still holds a narrow lead and the reason why that is he currently leads in Hamilton County and is performing around where Seantor Kerry did in the Cleveland area and in the North East so the only question is can it hold but at this moment its very close , in Pennsylvania , Mayor Guiliani has taken the lead but their is still parts of Appalachian Pennslyvania to come in which is leaning Governor Warner way and Rural central Pennslyvania which leads Mayor Guliani's way. In Missouri Governor Warner is ahead by 3 points right now and if you look a key Kansas City suburban county, Clay County, you can see he is up by 5 there and making inroads in the Northern parts of the state so I would say he is in good shape here.

In North Carolina, Forsyth county a county that Democrats hoped to make massive inroads in ,currently is tied and overall both candidates seem to be trading leads here in the state. In Wisconsin, a place Mayor Guliani hoped to make inroads in areas like Madison is happening but is being offseted by unable to put up the margins in the Milwaukee suburbs as President Bush did but there is much of the vote still outstanding so we will see how the state will go

10:30:

Blitzer: CNN is now able to project that in Minnesota- Seantor Norm Coleman will be reelected while in Lousiana - Senator Mary Landrieu will for sure be over the 50% mark thus winning reelection as well. Now let look at our battleground senate board

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: VA, GA, CO , OR, AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN


As you can see Democrats will have at least 53 seats while Republicans will have at least 41 in the next senate. It is possible that Democrats could get to 59 theoretically

Gergen: Theoretically yes but with the way this night as gone overall and polling tells me that Gordon Smith most likely will be reelected in Oregon as moderate Republican senators like Norm Coleman have been doing well in similarly Democratic states so that number will probably be no more than 58 and that is if they choose to keep Senator Lieberman in their caucus which looks unlikely at this moment.

Borger: Dont forget that in Colorado where the polls closed 90 minutes ago and its still pretty much a dead heat  

King: Well looking at the map it pretty much looks like that Congressman Udall is doing what he needs to in the urban areas while Congressman Schaffer is doing what he needs to in the rural areas and the exurbs . So this race will be decided in the suburbs and its very close there. It probably will be not decided until the last moment

Cooper: Realistically 55 to 57 looks more accuarate

Gergen: I agree with that

Blitzer: Stand by as we have a call to make and while it isnt much of a surprise , it is that we can project that Mayor Guliani will win the home state of his running mate John McCain as we can now protect he will carry Arizona and its 10 electoral votes



Guiliani 186
Warner 161

Blitzer: In some of the key battleground states currently Mayor Guliani is ahead in Pennsylvania 49.8% to 49.3%, Colorado 51.6% to 47.5%, Nevada 50.5% to 48.6% while Governor Warner is ahead in Wisconsin 51.6% to 47.3%,  Ohio 49.9% to 49.2% , Missouri 51.1% to 48%, Arkansas 50.8% to 48.7% while its basically a tie in North Carolina, New Mexico and Maine.

Martin: At this point I would say its hard for me to see how Mayor Guliani can win without Ohio as this point its difficult to see him pull it out in Wisconsin or Missouri and if you add those states to California, Washington and Hawaii states that are considered safe dem that would give him 252 electoral votes which at that point  Ohio's 20 would put him over the top.

King: To Roland point though Governor Warner can win without winning Pennsylvania, Ohio or North Carolina because lets go to the what if map and give him Oregon and that first district in Maine along with the 252 Roland was talking about and you can see that gets him to 260 electoral votes. So at this point lets say for the sake of argument give Mayor Guliani Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Colorado and Nevada and you can see that gets the Mayor to 264 electoral votes . Now at this point it seems pretty likely Governor Warner Arkansas 266 electoral votes and then if he just wins New Mexico he would win the presidency. Even say Mayor Guliani wins New Mexico, if Governor Warner wins the remaining  3 electoral votes in Maine you get to the 269-269 map we have been talking about and given Democrats will control both houses, Governor Warner would still become the next President . So at this point Ohio is a must win for Mayor Guliani but is not yet for Mayor Guliani.

Cooper: Though if Mayor Guliani wins either New Mexico or Arkansas and takes at least 1 electoral vote in Maine that no longer becomes true

King: That is correct because if you give that one electoral vote in Maine, that would give Mayor Guliani 270 electoral votes and thus the presidency. So in most scenarios whoever wins Ohio will win the presidency but there are ways Governor Warner can win without Ohio at this stage even if they are very narrow.

10:55:

Blitzer: CNN is now able to project that Governor Tim Kaine will be the next senator from Virginia which means for the first time since 1972 both of Virginia's senator will be a Democrat.

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: GA, CO , OR, AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN
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« Reply #33 on: October 27, 2020, 02:38:47 AM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 5):

11:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: The polls have closed in the West and CNN can now project that Governor Warner will Carry the states of California, Washington and Hawaii while Mayor Guliani will carry the state of Idaho and win the one electoral vote in Nebraska . We are currently unable to make a projection in Oregon



Warner 231
Guiliani 191

Blitzer: Currently in Pennsylvania Mayor Guliani has increased his lead now to around 1 point, but is still trailing Governor Warner in Ohio , Missouri and Wisconsin

Brown: So John is Pennslyvania locked up in Mayor Guliani Column

King: Well at this point one problem for the Warner camp in Pennslyvania is that almost all of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and yes while the Governor has made inroads here in the Western parts of the state they have easily been more than offest by the drops in the Philli metro area. So really at this point its likely that Pennsylvania will go Republican

Blitzer: Stand by as we have another call to make and that is that CNN can now project that Governor Warner will win the states ofArkansas and also the state of Wisconsin



Warner 247
Guiliani 191

Blitzer: Candy how is the crowd reacting

Crowley: The crowd cheered very loudly at that call as that means now they are within striking distance to 270 and they are liking how the states are going.

Blitzer: Ok John Back to you , so how does that Arkansas call change things

King: It changes things a lot because at this point Missouri,  Oregon and that one electoral vote in Maine is extremely likely to go to Governor Warner column which would give him 266 electoral votes meaning that the only state Mayor Guliani can afford to lose at this point is Maine and even then he must win at least one electoral vote in Maine or this race is over.

Brown: What if Mayor Guliani manages to carry Missouri

King: At this point if Mayor Guliani manages to carry Missouri I would say he would have carried all the states still astounding with the exceptions of Oregon and that one electoral vote in Maine and will win the election 283 to 255.

Dobbs: At this point though I would say a sports equivalent of this is Governor Warner currently leads 3-1 with game 7 at his stadium.

Gergen: Agreed


11:37:

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Mayor Guliani will carry Pennslyvania and its very big 21 electoral votes becoming the first Republican since 1988 to carry that state .  On the other hand we can project that Oregon and its 7 electoral votes will be won by Governor Warner



Warner 254
Guiliani 212

Blitzer: Lets go to Kate who is at the Rockefeller Center and Kate what was the crowd's reaction to the call

Bolduan: The crowd erupted when they heard that Pennslyvania had been won by Mayor Guliani and one member in the crowd said the results in North Carolina, Colorado, and Nevada look promising so all the mayor needs to do is win New Mexico , that district in Maine where he holds narrow leads at the moment and the make a slight comeback in Ohio and if he does he is the President-Elect

King: Well whoever that supporter is is correct about that fact but while .7 points may not look like a lot with less than 7 percent of the precincts left to report that means he must win 55.7% of the rest of the vote to carry the state and with parts of that 7% left in Cuyahoga County , I dont know slight is a word I would use.


11:51:

Blitzer: CNN is now able to project that Mayor Guliani will carry the states of North Carolina and Colorado both which will add 24 very critical electoral votes into his column while Governor Warner will carry Missouri and its 11 electoral votes which means he now is only 5 electoral votes away from winning the Presidency



Warner 265
Guiliani 236

King: So officially at this point Governor Warner can win the presidency by winning any of Ohio Nevada , New Mexico or by taking both districts in Maine .

Gergen: Yes and I think at this point its very likely he will because with so many votes outstanding in Cuyahoga its hard for me to see how Mayor Guliani can win that state so really unless something really astounding happens , Governor Warner at this point is very likely to take the presidency
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Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #34 on: October 28, 2020, 12:46:51 AM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 6):


12:10:

Blitzer: At 10 minutes past minute CNN can now project that Oregon Senator Gordon Smith will win a third term. That means the Republicans so far will have 52 seats and could potentially flip all the other 3 and if Senator Lieberman joins their caucus would have 46 senators in their caucus next January. Now lets look a the Senate Battleground

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: GA, CO , AK , CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Gains:
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR

Brown: So far Georgia is very close with former Governor Barnes holding a slight lead and is a little over 50% so the only question can he hold that 50%

King: Yes the reason for that is first he made major inroads in South East Georgia as if you go along through rural Georgia he did even better than Governor Warner did , and then second here's a big one and that is Cobb County, his home and a key Republican suburban area and you can see Mayor Guliani won this area by 15 to 16 points while Governor Barnes was able to keep this county under 5 points. That is a big problem for Republicans as counties like Cobb are areas where Republicans are supposed to get their biggest raw votes margins to help offset the Democratic margins in Fulton and Dekalb County but instead no. So the only thing we are waiting for is can he hold that number above 50%  and we should get our answer by the end of this hour

Blitzer: With us is now Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid who will be the majority leader for the next two years. So first question what are your thoughts of the night

Reid: I think this is a great night and I think we very much could have 56 or maybe even 57 senators at the end of tonight , along with an expanded majority in the House and I believe at this point we will win the presidency too . This altogether in my mind will give us a mandate to help us move the nation past the divisive past 8 years and chart a new direction

Blitzer: Quick Question there have been rumors about not letting Senator Lieberman back in your caucus , so what do you have to say about that

Reid: Well we were gonna announce this tomorrow morning but since we made the decision I will right now and that is we will not let Senator Lieberman back in the caucus as he has done everything to help the Republicans over this campaign so he clearly has made it clear he isnt a Democrat anymore.

Blitzer: Ok thanks for coming on

Brown: With that announcement we should be able to in our CNN senate battleground mark Connecticut as a GOP pickup

Blitzer: Yes we will do that in a second

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: GA, CO , AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR


12:35
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Blitzer: CNN can now project that Governor Warner will win 3 of the 4 electoral votes in Maine while Mayor Guliani will win the 2nd district of Maine and pick up 1 electoral vote



Warner 268
Guiliani 237

King: So at this point Governor Warner needs to win just one state left outstanding and he's the next president while Mayor Guliani needs to go 4 for 4 if he wants to win the presidency.

Blitzer: Governor Warner now has taken a 1 point lead in Ohio but is trailing in Nevada and New Mexico. The reason we haven't called it is that we want to be certain that once all the votes are counted the margin doesnt meet the threshold for a recount

Gergen: Yes at this point I dont see how Mayor Guliani could overtake him in Ohio tonight


12:52:

Blitzer: We have a major projection to make and that is in the Georgia Senate race we can now project that Former Governor Roy Barnes will be the next senator of Georgia . That win gives the Democrats at least 55 seats while the Republicans currently will have at least 43 seats

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: CO , AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR


Right now its basically a tie in Colorado so we will be waiting for those results and the polls will close in Alaska soon so we will take a break and come back when they do
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« Reply #35 on: October 31, 2020, 02:01:43 PM »

2008 CNN Election Night Coverage(Part 7):

1:00 AM:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0B_U0FyRwvU

Breaking News: Mark Warner Elected President
Blitzer: We have a major projection to make and that is we can now project that Governor Mark Warner will be the next President of the United States as CNN is now able to project that he will carry the state of Ohio and its 20 electoral votes which will give him at least 288 electoral votes giving him enough electoral votes to win the Presidency. We can also project that Alaska will be won by Mayor Guliani



Warner 288
Guiliani 240


Blitzer: As you can now see in Richmond supporters of Mark Warner are now jumping up and down in how , waving the US flag and chanting USA USA USA.

Gergen: This was a very close election again but Governor Warner did manage to pull through in the end similarly to how President Bush did 4 years ago. The question for the GOP is how they respond to this cause many Republicans believe if a more socially conservative Republican was on the ballot they would have won Missouri, Arkansas and West Virginia which if they won Nevada and New Mexico as well would be enough to take the presidency but what they forget is I doubt any other Republican wins Pennsylvania or that electoral vote in Maine so they would have still lost. So Ohio would have been the deciding state either way and Republicans in that state need to find out what has gone wrong there since 2006.

Brown: We have just gotten word that Mayor Guiliani has called Governor Warner to concede the presidency and is now heading to the Rockefeller Center to give his concession speech. Something of interest is that means that we have not elected a President from the Northern Half of the United States since 1960.


1:15:

Blitzer: Now lets head to New York so we can see Mayor Guliani's concession speech

Guiliani: A Few moments ago I spoke to Governor Warner to congratulate him on winning the presidential race and wish him well over the next 4 years because now that he has won the election  , he will be all of our president so we should wish for his successes. It was a tough-fought campaign, and while its tough to lose like this , I can tell you that I am proud of the campaign we run and am proud of all of you for the effort you put in this campaign(Applause). Without your hard work we would never have come as far as we did , and while yes it is disappointing we should not give up because the issues we fought for are more important than any one man(Applause). 4 years ago the Democrats were disappointed at losing a similar tough-fought campaign , but worked hard for the next 4 years to build upon their hard work and were rewarded for their hard work this time and we must do the same(Applause). As for me , I had the honor of my life for being able to represent the greatest city on earth for 8 years (Applause) as your mayor, and then meet so many people on this campaign for the past two years and while it would have my honor to represent you as your president I wont forget the hard work you put in this campaign(Applause) and I will always fight for the issues we have fought for over the past two years(Applause). Thank You , May God Bless you and may god bless America


Blitzer: While Mayor Guliani was giving his concession speech CNN was able to project that Nevada will be won by Mayor Guliani



Warner 288
Guiliani 245

1:53:

Blitzer: Now lets head to Richmond where we can here President-Elect Warner's victory speech

Warner: A few moments ago I spoke to Mayor Guliani where I congratulated him for running a toughly fought campaign and also thanked him for all the years he put in serving the public including his years as Mayor of New York City(Applause). I also let him know that now that the election is over, I look forward to working with him in the coming weeks to help bring our country together after a longly fought campaign(Applause). To solve the many issues facing our nation from fixing our healthcare system, making our economy stronger than ever for the working men and women of this nation to winning the war on terror we have to come together as not Democrats or Republicans but Americans(Applause). They may not be easy issues to solve but if we come together we will solve them(Applause).

I want to thank all the volunteers and supporters of not only this campaign as it is through your hard work that we were able to win this election, and to the people who didnt support me I want to let you know that I pledge to work hard every day as President to earn your trust as well(Applause). I also want to thank everyone who has supported me throughout my career as without your support I would definitely not be here today and I want to let you know that I will do all I can in my utmost to justify the support you have given me(Applause). Thank You may God Bless You and May God Bless America .

 Blitzer: As President-Elect Warner was giving his victory speech , we were able to project the Colorado Senate seat will be won by the Democrat Mark Udall which will mean they will have at least 56 senate seats at the end of the night

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA, CO
Democratic Holds: LA
Undecided Battlegrounds: AK
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR

Gergen: His victory speech was a classy speech and I could not agree more that after almost 2 years of politics its type to put that aside and come together as Americans.

Brown: Fully agreed

2:55:

Blitzer: CNN Can now project that Mayor Guliani will win the state of New Mexico and its 5 electoral votes.



Warner 288
Guiliani 250

Blitzer: So that marks the end of our coverage of election night 2008



8:45 am:

Cooper: We want to interrupt regular broadcasting to announce that in the Alaska senate race we can project that Senator Ted Stevens will be narrowly reelected. So the senate composition in the next congress will be 56 Democrats to 44 Republicans while in the House it will be 242 Democrats to 193 Republicans.

Democratic Gains: NC, KY, NM, VA, GA, CO
Democratic Holds: LA
Republican Gains: CT*(Lieberman's party)
Republican Holds:  NH, MS-S, MN, OR, AK

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Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,155


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #36 on: October 31, 2020, 02:04:16 PM »

So I have two updates left :

One of them will be an election results update where I will give the final map of the Presidential Race, Senate, and Gubernatorial Races along with the total house composition. Lastly I will also give the state by state results for the Presidential Race

The second update will be Warner's Cabinet
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #37 on: October 31, 2020, 05:19:45 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2020, 12:51:16 PM by Old School Republican »

Results of 2008 Election :

Presidential Election Results:



Former Virginia Governor Mark Warner(D-VA)/Senator Blanche Lincoln(D-AK) 288 50.34%
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Guliani(R-NY)/Senator John McCain(R-AZ) 250 48.75%

State by State Results: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1b-ZSnhmW9ompp8Xbf-d1ZinRUfaxewev/view?usp=sharing

Credit for Creating Template goes to President Johnson  



Democrats 56(+5)
Republicans 44(-5)

Note: FL is MS Special , and UT is WY Special and CT is Lieberman joining the GOP Caucus


House of Representatives:

Democrats: 242(+6)
Republicans: 193(-6)



Gubernatorial Results:




Seats that Flipped Parties: MO flipped to Dems

President Warner’s Cabinet :

President: Mark Warner(D-VA)
Vice President: Blanche Lincoln(D-AR)

Secretary of State : John Kerry(D-MA)
Secretary of Treasury: Lawrence Summers(D-CT)
Secretary of Defense: Sam Nunn(D-GA)
Attorney General: Joe Biden(D-DE)
Secretary of Interior: Stephanie Sandlin(D-SD)
Secretary of Agriculture: Tom Vilsack(D-IA)

Secretary of Commerce: Michael Bloomberg(R-NY)
Secretary of Labor: Hilda Solis(D-CA)
Secretary of Health and Human Services: Howard Dean(D-VT)
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development: Douglas Wilder(D-VA)
Secretary of Transportation: Jim Oberstar(D-MN)
Secretary of Energy: Ed Rendell(D-PA)

Secretary of Education: Tom Kean Sr(R-NJ)
Secretary of Veterans Affairs: Max Cleland(D-GA)
Secretary of Homeland Security: Raymond Kelly(I-NYC)

Chief of Staff: Terry McAuliffe(D-VA)
National Security Advisor: James Steinberg(D-MA)
UN Ambassador: Susan Rice(D-ME)

EPA Director: Lincoln Chaffe(R-RI)
OBM Director: John Spratt(D-SC)
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Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,155


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #38 on: November 01, 2020, 05:01:05 PM »

If Bush wins FL from the polling map and holds the other battlegrounds he’s ahead in we would end with a 269-269 map .

So it would depend on who controls congress at the end of the night
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
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P P P

« Reply #39 on: November 06, 2020, 08:16:16 PM »

You mean Bush not Romney right .


Also the 269-269 scenario is possible if Bush wins NV IA AK
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« Reply #40 on: January 02, 2021, 05:56:53 PM »

BUMP. This was a great project and I hope this gets revived at some point.

I’ll see if this can be revived
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #41 on: January 04, 2021, 02:46:53 PM »

Cant wait to see this
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P P P

« Reply #42 on: January 04, 2021, 03:05:55 PM »

My prediction is this map:




Also Rubio wins the PV while losing the EC
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
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P P P

« Reply #43 on: January 12, 2021, 01:05:24 AM »

Lol looking at the map for one second , I thought Cuomo won KY and Rubio won VT till I realized oh these aren’t atlas colors lol
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Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,155


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #44 on: January 22, 2021, 05:52:41 PM »

CO and VA being called this early for Cuomo is bad news for Rubio
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
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P P P

« Reply #45 on: January 26, 2021, 02:26:02 AM »

I think WI will decide the ball game
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Computer89
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P P P

« Reply #46 on: March 18, 2021, 04:49:40 PM »

The battleground map even fits a T-MAC vs Rubio race more than a Cuomo vs Rubio race as well
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Computer89
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Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #47 on: March 22, 2021, 02:35:26 PM »

My guess is Marco wins NC OH AZ NV AK and the two congressional districts taking him up to 266 EV while T-Mac wins MA and HI taking him up to 262. So WI will decide the winner

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Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #48 on: March 23, 2021, 01:22:02 PM »
« Edited: March 23, 2021, 01:27:18 PM by Old School Republican »

McAuliffe should win. If it's that close in Ohio, Wisconsin should go to McAuliffe.

Not necessarily as remember Ohio is a state where the early counting favors the Dems and it wasn’t called for Trump till around 10:30. I think their is a chance he wins Hamilton County too which I think comes in near the end .


Also given that Rubio would do better in WOW than Trump did I think Ohio probably voted around 4 points to the right of Wisconsin instead of 8. It kinda would be more like 2004 but not fully so
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Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,155


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #49 on: March 25, 2021, 02:23:46 PM »

Wow those Ohio numbers are terrible news for Wisconsin at this stage of the night but seems like Rubio is doing extremely good in WOW so Ohio and Wisconsin may vote similarly but Rubio absolutely must win both or it’s all over
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