Both campaigns' internal polling shows Bullock up by single digits, you know. It's not a coincidence that Bullock declared for the race immediately after it was clear Biden and not Sanders had the nomination.
This election is in November and Donald Trump will win Montana by at least 15 points, you know.
Evan Bayh was also leading the Indiana Senate polls for awhile too. Bullock won’t be able to campaign behind his fake moderate shield when he’s having to run against Donald Trump.
You do realize Bayh had the whole residency controversy that Bullock will not have, right?
I’m going to trust MT Treasurer’s and Heir of Camelot’s word on this race (since they are, you know, Montanans) and call it a tossup.
The point is that polls in April and May have very little predictive value, or else we’d have Senator Bayh and Senator Bredesen.
Given that Trump will almost assuredly win MT by double digits and Bullock still hasn’t felt the heat of a national campaign yet, I know whose shoes I’d want to be in at this point.
Bayh wasn't even in until July though...and Baron Hill was set to lose anyway...likely by the same amount.