Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,318
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: February 07, 2022, 03:19:38 PM » |
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Toss-Up, Tilt R if I had to say. I love how uniform swing is supposed to mean that Nevada must flip, even in a neutral year, but that it's somehow more likely to flip than Arizona and Georgia as well (?) Or how "candidate quality" means that Pennsylvania could be extremely close in a Republican wave year and that Kelly could survive as well, but it somehow helps Laxalt, who has been one of the biggest promoters of the Big Lie (?)
Considering I have Laxalt winning, albeit by a very narrow margin, I don't think I'm the one being melodramatic here. My hot take is that it's more likely to be the only one of AZ/NV/GA/NH that doesn't flip (not likely at all, but still) than to be the only one that does.
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