Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[henster]

Daniel Cameron is being attacked now by the law and order right for an unearthed 2017 video of him supporting liberal-leaning bail reform, something that NJ, NY and IL has enacted.


https://twitter.com/gekaminsky/status/1653081510373736458

So much worse to think Cameron holds more liberal beliefs on criminal justice but is playing tough in office to get votes and hurting the black community. Especially considering his conduct during the Breonna Taylor case, was that all for show?

I think Craft is even odds to beat Cameron right now, there was a poll that had him only leading by 6 points a couple of weeks ago. Beshear would be the heavy favorite vs Craft. But it'd be interesting to see Beshear flip the script on Cameron and call him 'weak on crime' if he's the nominee.

[henster]

Kentucky already rarely uses cash bail. It's one of the least using bail states along with Oregon.

And few cities if any in KY have even considered defunding the police but voters will sure hear about it come November. Even the most benign issues will get blown up to stir up any kind of fear and anger. I just want to see Beshear and Dems finally turn this around on Repubs. "Daniel Cameron wants to eliminate cash bail and release violent criminals on our streets!"

[henster]

Daniel Cameron is being attacked now by the law and order right for an unearthed 2017 video of him supporting liberal-leaning bail reform, something that NJ, NY and IL has enacted.


https://twitter.com/gekaminsky/status/1653081510373736458

So much worse to think Cameron holds more liberal beliefs on criminal justice but is playing tough in office to get votes and hurting the black community. Especially considering his conduct during the Breonna Taylor case, was that all for show?

I think Craft is even odds to beat Cameron right now, there was a poll that had him only leading by 6 points a couple of weeks ago. Beshear would be the heavy favorite vs Craft. But it'd be interesting to see Beshear flip the script on Cameron and call him 'weak on crime' if he's the nominee.

Unfortunately I think Andy is too soft to really twist the knife on the crime issue the way he could... and would if I were advising him. After all, if he wasn't, if he was a real Bill Clinton type, he probably wouldn't have vetoed the transgender sports/youth transition bills where he was overridden anyway. That can only hurt him in the general election, and he did it anyway. I think he can still win but he's made things a little more difficult for himself.

I don't know why some Dem pols want to die on this hill of transgender sports. Maybe they are more worried about backlash or blacklisting from the donor class. In most cases there are maybe a dozen or less actual transgender athletes trying to actually compete and I think there is a lot of nuance to be had on the issue. Beshear could've signed the bill and put forth a reasonable explanation without coming off as bigoted. It would not be as big as a betrayal as say banning trans healthcare.

[henster]

Will be interesting to see what moves Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman makes in the next few years since she is the most apparent successor to Beshear. KY Dems starting off a little better than LA Dems did when JBE was termed out and had no apparent successor.

[henster]

Beshear will take Roy Coopers spot as the perfect VP for any would be female nominee. I don't really think he'd stand out too much as a Presidential candidate in 2028 because he can't really deliver big progressive wins to sell to primary voters.