LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term (user search)
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  LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term  (Read 47382 times)
Skye
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« on: October 11, 2019, 09:02:36 AM »

Trump rally tonight:

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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2019, 12:16:08 AM »

Quite important that the vote was 51.8 R - 47.4 D. It's a bit disappointing for Edwards, but nothing too out of line with what polls showed.
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2019, 12:24:06 AM »

Quite important that the vote was 51.8 R - 47.4 D. It's a bit disappointing for Edwards, but nothing too out of line with what polls showed.

The polls almost all showed JBE >= Abraham + Rispone. I don’t think any had the latter outpolling him by 5%. Doesn’t bode well!

True, but it's LA. Edwards was polling from 45 to 48 in pretty much every poll taken during the final stretch of the campaign. And most people here didn't expect JBE to win outright. So the math kinda works. The only real surprise was the other 3 jokers getting less than 1% of the vote each so they weren't a factor.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2019, 07:48:55 AM »

Miles has officially rated the race as Leans D for Sabato's Crystal Ball:

http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/in-close-runoff-democrats-try-to-finish-strong-in-louisiana/

For those who don't know, he used to be a member of this forum.

Giving him a clear edge in the rating seems a bit confident IMO, but he does acknowledge the race is going to be very close.
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