President Johnson
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,524
Political Matrix E: -3.23, S: -4.70
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« on: April 17, 2022, 12:58:22 PM » |
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Since 1988, Republicans only once won the national popular vote for president, when Dubya was reelected in 2004. Whenever the next Republican wins it, do you think it's going to be a challenger seeking a first term in office, or an incumbent president winning a second term?
I'd say an incumbent winning reelection, since presidents tend to win with a larger margin and incumbency is a big factor.
(Trump 2024 would count as challenger here, though I don't think he'd win the popular vote, even with an Electoral College victory.)
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