How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms (user search)
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  How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Worst midterm outlook for incumbent party 10 months out
#1
Democrats in January 1994
 
#2
Republicans in January 2006
 
#3
Democrats in January 2010
 
#4
Democrats in January 2014
 
#5
Republicans in January 2018
 
#6
Democrats in January 2022
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: How badly does the upcoming midterms look for democrats compared to past midterms  (Read 1166 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: January 25, 2022, 12:49:59 PM »

As bad or worse than 1994/2010, in terms of raw margins. And no, that is not "total hackery". Biden's approval this far out is worse than any Dem incumbent president in recent history. Only Bush in 2006 was worse. Because of geographic polarization and Dems getting nearly everything they want in redistricting though, the gains in the House may be more limited than the numbers suggest. But any seat that is Biden +10 or less, expect GOP gains in the vast majority of them. Even Republicans can't screw this up if things don't improve for Dems.
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