Will Democrats win the Mountain West post-2020 (user search)
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  Will Democrats win the Mountain West post-2020 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Mountain West? See Map Below
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Will Democrats win the Mountain West post-2020  (Read 822 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: December 02, 2018, 12:45:23 PM »



This is how it voted in 2016

Trump: 4,664,555 (47.3%)
Clinton: 4,158,654 (42.2%)
McMuffin: 344,654 (3.5%)

Total: 9,851,797

The region as a whole is trending D. Trump performed poorly because a large percentage of Mormons voted for McMullin. Even with the total for him there, we have to consider he didn't get on the ballot in Nevada or Wyoming, states with decent Mormon populations. So if we add that to Trump's total, it goes to roughly 51-42 Trump. Obviously, the three strongly Republican states in the region (ID, UT, WY) will make that difficult given the rest aren't too strongly Democratic yet. I think a Democrat wins here if it's a good year (Obama 2012-like margin) in 2028.
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