Predictions with 30 days to go

[J. J.]

This is my current map.

I'd say the map is 50% likely.

Obama/Republican/Republican

[J. J.]

The only thing that could change this race is Obamaphone video going viral.

What are you talking about?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tpAOwJvTOio
The racist white working class.

This video was discredited as a hoax a week ago.

Republicans can only win using three things, god, racism, and resentment. Since Mittens can't do the god and doesn't have the proper personality to channel frustration, he can only use racism. Whether or not something is true or not has no relevance to those points, as you are aware(the most obvious one being religion). As much as politico wants personal financial well-being/economy be an issue that Republicans can win on, it is simply not true because majority of people are not sadists.

Neither a hoax nor racism, though the woman is a buffoon.  There is a program to give cell phones to poor people.  Somebody thought MacKaskill was one:  http://fox4kc.com/2012/02/08/cellphone-fraud-cost-metro-taxpayers/