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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  New Hampshire, New Hampshire, New Hampshire (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire, New Hampshire, New Hampshire  (Read 5496 times)
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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Posts: 14,185
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« on: May 11, 2013, 09:29:07 PM »

The mid-term results are meant to be exciting and, at times, surprising. However, if there is any result you see that is TOO unrealistic for you or simply doesn't make sense, please let me know so I can consider changing/fixing. Thanks!

  • Sarah Palin won't win statewide in Alaska. It's conservative, but there are a lot of swing voters and she's seen there as someone who quit on Alaska for the national spotlight. I could see this going GOP, but Treadwell is more likely to flip it than Palin ever will be.
  • Broun and Gingrey are far from establishment types. They're actually the crazies of the race. Broun is a Tea Party darling, and Gingrey actually defended Todd Akin. If anything Cain would get the establishment vote.
  • Bar a Democratic wave Castro won't win either. Texas is simply too conservative in time to elect him statewide. Maybe against Cruz in 2018, but he won't win here.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,185
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2013, 10:10:22 PM »

Loving this so far, though I question why you left Brownback as unopposed in Kansas. He seems relatively vulnerable based on recent polling, so I'm sure that some Democrats would pounce at that opportunity.

Good call. I did it because I couldn't think of a plausible candidate (with Brewer running for Senate, and Sebelius staying in Obama's cabinet until 2017), but I just figured someone out.

If anything I'd switch Roberts out. He's susceptible to a primary challenge, but he's even having trouble fielding a primary candidate. Brownback is more susceptible than Roberts for a Brewer challenge.
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