AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

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She had a 7/76 approval/disapproval among Democrats before this stunt. She can’t honestly be considering an independent run in 2024 with those kind of numbers. The Democratic candidate would probably get a 95/5 split there, and Sinema would run the risk of taking more from the Republican anyway (she has bad approvals in all crosstabs, but she performs better with Reps than Dems these days).

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side note - what happened to Dani Rose??

It was a sock account.

for who?! :eyes:

Svensson

And what exactly IS a sock account?

When a person who has been banned returns on a new account, pretending to be a different person. Making sock accounts to evade a ban is itself a bannable offense.

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If Lake is the Republican nominee she may finish third in the general.

Related question: When was the last time a Democrat or a Republican came in third place in a Senate general election? This is discounting races in Maine and Vermont where King and Sanders are the de-facto Democratic nominees.

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Hearing rumblings that Sinema may file to run in the Dem primary. I don't know if it is her floating a trial balloon but there is apparently a poll in the field listing her in primary against Gallego.

Gallego would win that primary easily.

She would have $10M and the DSCC would be obligated to support her as an incumbent, I think she would make it close. Which is why I think she's seriously considering switching back.

The DSCC is not going to help someone who abandoned the party win a primary.