Minor Party Primaries Results and Discussion

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This thread is specifically about the primary process for these parties, for general election discussion please visit successor thread Minor Party and Independent General Election Discussion

We don't seem to have a results thread for these two sets of primaries so I figured I'd fill the gap. If anyone has questions about context of some of these I could probably answer some of the Green Party primary questions as I've been following it closely, and I'm sure our Atlas Libertarian community can answer any questions about the LP process. I'll update as these two processes continue. Tables will only include candidates who have won contests or a large share (>5%) of the vote. While third parties are not major factors in American political life these contests are still competitive and in my humble opinion an interesting spectacle to watch. This page is still a WIP.

LIBERTARIAN PRIMARY

Nominee: Jo Jorgensen

Including Uncommited:

NAME	CONTESTS WON	POPULAR VOTE
Jacob Hornberger	7	8,908 (22.1%)
Jo Jorgensen	2	5,086 (12.3%)
Vermin Supreme	1	4,348 (10.5%)
Uncommitted	2	3,766 (9.1%)
Ken Armstrong	0	3,530 (8.6%)
Kim Ruff	0	3,045 (7.4%)
Adam Kokesh	0	2,894 (7.0%)
Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman	0	2,409 (5.8%)

Excluding Uncommitted:

NAME	CONTESTS WON	POPULAR VOTE
Jacob Hornberger	8	8,908 (22.1%)
Jo Jorgensen	2	5,086 (12.3%)
Vermin Supreme	2	4,348 (10.5%)
Ken Armstrong	0	3,530 (8.6%)
Kim Ruff	0	3,045 (7.4%)
Adam Kokesh	0	2,894 (7.0%)
Dan "Taxation is Theft" Behrman	0	2,409 (5.8%)

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GREEN PRIMARY

NAME	CONTESTS WON	ESTIMATED DELEGATES	POPULAR VOTE
Howie Hawkins	5	46	4,766 (35.0%)
Dario Hunter	2	22	2,841 (20.9%)
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry	0	10	2,173 (16.0%)
Dennis Lambert	0	8	1,953 (14.3%)
David Rolde	0	5	832 (6.1%)

UP NEXT:

4/18- GP Wisconsin Convention (4 delegates)

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CONSTITUTION PRIMARY

Nominee: Don Blankenship

Including Uncommitted

NAME	CONTESTS WON	POPULAR VOTE
Don Blankenship	2	643 (32.0%)
Uncommitted	1	463 (23.0%)
Don J. Grundmann	0	252 (12.5%)
Charles Kraut	0	232 (11.5%)

Excluding Uncommitted

NAME	CONTESTS WON	POPULAR VOTE
Don Blankenship	3	643 (32.0%)
Don J. Grundmann	0	252 (12.5%)
Charles Kraut	0	232 (11.5%)

UP NEXT:

Unknown

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PEACE AND FREEDOM PRIMARY

NAME	CONTESTS WON	POPULAR VOTE
Gloria La Riva	1	3,777 (66.3%)
Howie Hawkins	0	1,923 (33.7%)

UP NEXT:

Unknown

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depending on who the Libertarians nominate and how Biden's campaign goes I could see Hawkins (or Hunter if he manages to win, which seems more likely than it used to) getting 3rd place. Granted, it'd be like, 1.2% vs 0.9% or something but still

I think this is entirely possible too. Especially given Hawkins is going for a classic New Yorker ballot fusion plan where a lot of smaller socialist and left-populist parties are also nominating him. That being said, I expect a net decrease in third party votes just due to how vilified they were in the media by Clinton '16 alumni, but from all I've see the Libertarian Party isn't all that serious this year. Not mentioned here but I've also noticed a lot more enthusiasm around the Party for Socialism and Liberation and Gloria La Riva this time 'round than in 2016 among the small minority of genuinely far left almost tankie Bernie supporters. They're expected to only be on the ballot in California again but she's also going for the Peace and Freedom nomination again and beat Howie for the California primary. Without McMuffin and a large scale Bernie write-in effort I think it's entirely possible that they beat out the Constitution Party for 5th place or at least get a comfortable 6th. Hawkins is IMHO a better candidate in every regard but it's something to keep an eye on.

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I'm surprised that Hunter is doing so well.

There's a fairly sizeable anti-Hawkins camp in the Green Party which sees Hawkins as "too establishment" () and believes the Greens are trying to sway the process in his favour (more weight to this one). At this point, most of those voters have coalesced around Hunter given that he's the only real viable alternative at this point.

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Outraged over the exclusion of the Constitution Party and Big Don's march to the other big house.

Funny timing, I was in the process of adding them!

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Howie Hawkins has won the Illinois primary. His campaign is claiming 73% of the vote however popular vote margin isn't updated yet as IL is yet to release these results.

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Updated for the first time in a few weeks, with the end of the Democratic process as a competitive contest I'll try to be more on top of this.

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Updated for LP Ohio primary which Hornberger won. While Hornberger's lead is at this point pretty insurmountable it must be noted that the LP process is non-binding, leaving much room for an Amash entry. Given Amash's pretty steep hill to get reelected and his own posturing I personally expect he will enter the LP race.

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Updated for LP Ohio primary which Hornberger won. While Hornberger's lead is at this point pretty insurmountable it must be noted that the LP process is non-binding, leaving much room for an Amash entry. Given Amash's pretty steep hill to get reelected and his own posturing I personally expect he will enter the LP race.

May 21st is not far away. If he's going to enter, he's going to have to do so soon.

Absolutely true but with COVID and whatnot there may be a bigger window. Plus Hornberger hasn't exactly gained in vote share over this process as much as his support seems to be slightly broader than any other candidate. There's absolutely a window for Amash and I doubt there will be as much fuss as with Johnson in 2016.

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I should prob like... update the maps on page 1 at some point. I'll try to tomorrow.