Polis carried it in 2022-Gov; Bennet also came very close.
However, due to Dems dependence on high propoensity ski communities and stuff, I wonder if the midterm turnout dynamics may have favored Ds here.
It was Trump + 8.3 in 2020 so not totally out of reach, but it'd require a pretty hard swing. I'm thinking the R Pres nominee narrowly holds the district, but Dems make a more serious ploy at Boebert which may be successful.
Honestly, it's really frustrating how much money MTG's challenger received relative to Boebert's considering Boebert is also a huge lightning rod in a district that's theoretically winnable for Dems.
I wonder what goes on in the mind of a Polis/Boebert voter...
I
might have been one; I actually really like Boebert and Polis. The thing here is that Polis's Republican opponent was also really good; the argument for voting for Polis is because he's the best Democratic Governor in the country, and I'd like to see a more agreeable Democratic party, since statistically they are going to be in power half the time. (That said, the reasons I like both Boebert and Polis don't have much to do with each other. And I
probably would've voted Ganahl in the end.)
Anyway, probably Republican given that this is a place with a significant Democratic turnout advantage in midterms and it was Trump+8. Certainly winnable for the Democrats if there's a large landslide, though.
Under old lines, I would think Biden could well carry the old district in 2024 and Frisch would have won.
Beyond any doubt Frisch would've won under the old lines, actually. The redistricting gave Boebert around 2 points; without that she clearly loses.
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