Democrats could win it but the GOP has the upper edge here.
Under old lines, I would think Biden could well carry the old district in 2024 and Frisch would have won.
Polis carried it in 2022-Gov; Bennet also came very close.
However, due to Dems dependence on high propoensity ski communities and stuff, I wonder if the midterm turnout dynamics may have favored Ds here.
It was Trump + 8.3 in 2020 so not totally out of reach, but it'd require a pretty hard swing. I'm thinking the R Pres nominee narrowly holds the district, but Dems make a more serious ploy at Boebert which may be successful.
Honestly, it's really frustrating how much money MTG's challenger received relative to Boebert's considering Boebert is also a huge lightning rod in a district that's theoretically winnable for Dems.
I wonder what goes on in the mind of a Polis/Boebert voter...
There probably weren't
that many. Just looking at Pueblo County, there was a slight undervote in the congressional race.
It was likely mostly a set of Republicans who approved of Jared Polis as governor but voted R down ballot.
Trust me.. the "Aspen Adam" imagine around Frisch was likely a hindrance for him. But he almost made it is. CO-03 is very winnable in 2024.
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