AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[S019]

Engel or some other D could easily win AZ-06 in 2024 anyways even againsy Ciscomani so running him statewide makes sense, but the AZGOP primary electorate is known for well not thinking critically about their chances of political success. It’s kind of funny how McSally looks like a good candidate compared to some of the clowns they put up this year.

[S019]

Guys, Sinema has literally no chance of winning. Democrats won’t step aside for her and the idea that the lunatics in the AZGOP will is laughable. The only question is if she wants to burn all possible bridges and get 5% at most, but possibly still throw the seat to the GOP, or if she just wants to retire, and I think the latter is significantly likelier.

[S019]

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1601284645559357441?s=20&t=oOK0XBoucD...

Lamb is totally bonkers, he's a Trumpist who attended 1/6. He's also hard right on like all of the major social issues, nominating him would push this firmly into Lean D even if Sinema ran independent (he seems very much like the type of guy who'd perform like Masters).

[S019]

https://twitter.com/yvonnewingett/status/1661764001792159746?s=46&t=-r8JGlJn...

Lean Gallego >>> Likely Gallego

I would move it from Tilt to Lean at best. Actually starts out as a tossup. While Gallego has a good chance to beat a MAGA Republican, Democrats would make a mistake by taking this one for granted. It's really a must win.

I agree that it's a Tossup, I think Sinema is going to pull more from Ds in the end, and I think Biden will outrun Gallego. I think I want Biden at 51% here to feel good about this one.