Spanish elections and politics II: Catalan elections on February 14, 2021

[jaichind]

Which parties would be hurt by lower turnout?

[jaichind]

Exit poll
Socialists 35
Junts 30-33
Esquerra 36-38
VOX 6-7

[jaichind]

One things seems to be for sure: C underperformed.

[jaichind]

The seats are still allocated by D'Hondt method over 4 separate districts right ?

[jaichind]

I guess the battle between JxCat, ERC and PSC activated their voters to come out and lower turnout are about the rest not turning out as much.

[jaichind]

Pundits are saying, on TVE, that if ERC wins, Junts is out of government and ERC will make a deal with Cómun and the outside support of PSC. If Junts wins, a government is impossible. New elections? Who knows at this point.

What if PSC comes in first ?  I thought that Junts and ERC were going to make a deal no matter what and the election is more about which of the two is top dog.

[jaichind]

3 way tie for first in terms of seats.  How exciting.

[jaichind]

So most likely no two parties can form a majority.  Plenty room for all sorts of post-election maneuvers.

[jaichind]

Looks like the pro-independence vote will exceed 50% but seat wise the result were more lukewarm.  I guess to many votes got wasted on PDeCAT.