2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2024, 06:36:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 625306 times)
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« on: November 04, 2020, 01:25:30 AM »
A lot of the arguments for why we can’t nominate Bernie were proven to be moot tonight, regardless of who wins
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 03:04:07 AM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on November 04, 2020, 03:03:05 AM
Quote from: politics_king on November 04, 2020, 03:02:03 AM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 04, 2020, 03:00:28 AM
I've got to say, 2020 may be the very last time the Democrats run on a "Midwest strategy".

A "sunbelt strategy" might be the way to go from now on.

Demographics are changing and the Democrats need to stop running old white men and women on the ticket.

Except Kamala Harris is not an old white woman. I'm now convinced that Biden made a mistake by selecting her as his running mate. He should have gone with Tammy Duckworth, Cory Booker, or Julian Castro.
What was Kamala even supposed to add to the ticket?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 04:04:18 AM »
Obama made a huge mistake by not pushing for DC statehood when he had the trifecta.
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 04:09:03 AM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 04, 2020, 04:07:08 AM
Quote from: VBNMWEB on November 04, 2020, 04:04:18 AM
Obama made a huge mistake by not pushing for DC statehood when he had the trifecta.
In retrospect he made a LOT of mistakes when he had not only a trifecta, but briefly a supermajority.
I just don’t get why he didn’t do DC statehood. It would have been so easy
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 05:06:11 AM »
People underestimate Democrats chances in 2022. Suburbanites are more important in midterms than presidential elections because there’s a lot of low info WWC voters who only vote when the president is on the ballot. So a lot of those low info Trumpists won’t come out to vote in 2022
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2020, 05:08:50 AM »
Quote from: NOVA Green on November 04, 2020, 05:07:28 AM
Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.
Is NC not already gone?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2020, 05:17:22 AM »
Quote from: President Johnson on November 04, 2020, 05:13:43 AM
Florida is really the shocker of the night. I mean, I could have seen Trump winning it, but not by this much. Especially Miami-Dade. I wonder whether Bernie would have lost the county? If he was the nominee, he would have gotten destroyed in the state, even if he won the election as a whole.
Bernie wouldn’t have done worse than Biden here. Cuban Americans fell for the nonsense that Biden is a socialist because a lot of them are bitter, deplorable people who will do anything to spite Castro, in this case voting against the guy who was accused of being a socialist despite being the arch nemesis of the “socialist” Bernie Sanders in the primaries. Anyone who was voting against the socialism label would vote against either Bernie or Biden.
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2020, 05:25:59 AM »
Holy sh**t should we be worried about Arizona?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 05:31:49 AM »
Can someone please tell me what’s going on in Arizona?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 05:34:47 AM »
https://mobile.twitter.com/DoomConnoisseur/status/1323936248973742080

 
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 05:37:54 AM »
Just mocking the doomers lol
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 05:49:14 AM »
So what’s the strategy in 2024, assuming a narrow Biden win? Should we ditch Biden/Kamala and run someone that will give us more support among Latinos and drive out the base more?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 05:51:17 AM »
Quote from: Splash on November 04, 2020, 05:49:05 AM


Nov 5? Wtf? Why can’t they just count the rest of the ballots today?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 05:56:15 AM »
Quote from: Badger on November 04, 2020, 05:54:25 AM
Quote from: politics_king on November 04, 2020, 05:51:20 AM
Quote from: VBNMWEB on November 04, 2020, 05:49:14 AM
So what’s the strategy in 2024, assuming a narrow Biden win? Should we ditch Biden/Kamala and run someone that will give us more support among Latinos and drive out the base more?

Really depends on his Presidency. If it falters, he shouldn't run for a second term and then ideally some progressives will run against Kamala for the nomination.

So Biden hasn't even entirely been confirmed as the winner yet, and already Jumer's are talking about throwing him out for a better candidate in 2024.

LOL LOL! Never change, Democrats.
Maybe you should learn the meaning of the word “assuming”
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 11:18:09 AM »
Young affluent liberals from swing states need to stop moving in droves to liberal strongholds like NY and CA.
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 11:22:32 AM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 04, 2020, 11:20:34 AM
I don't think Biden has MI/PA/WI locked up yet, but I doubt an organization like AP or Fox would prematurely call Arizona. I think Biden's won that at least.
Isn’t it pretty much impossible for Trump to take back WI and MI since the remaining votes are absentee?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2020, 01:11:14 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 04, 2020, 01:05:09 PM
Quote from: riceowl on November 04, 2020, 01:04:22 PM
I think that Georgia looks very unlikely, but how does the Times needle still favor Biden? What am I missing?

Brain cells. It’s been the most predictable of the none safe states since ... November of 2016. But alas
Why are you being such an asshole about Georgia?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2020, 01:22:15 PM »
What the hell is wrong with the state of Maine?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2020, 01:23:25 PM »
Should we actually be worrying about Arizona or no?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 01:40:08 PM »
Why is nobody talking about Arizona?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 04:58:47 PM »
Why was Georgia the only state where the polls seem to be accurate?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2020, 09:01:23 PM »
MillennialModerate can you please show us where Blorgia touched you?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 09:59:38 PM »
Why are these counts taking so long? Shouldn’t they have a ton of resources invested into counting these right now?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2020, 10:05:40 PM »
Can someone give me a good estimate on how likely Blue Georgia is looking?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2020, 10:08:33 PM »
Quote from: Arch on November 04, 2020, 10:06:58 PM
Quote from: VBNMWEB on November 04, 2020, 10:05:40 PM
Can someone give me a good estimate on how likely Blue Georgia is looking?

Good with Fulton missing a chunk and Augusta and Savannah missing over 10%. The margin is already at Biden -30K before all that.
If you had to guess, how much votes would you say Biden wins or loses by?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 14 queries.