2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 622296 times)
randomusername
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« Reply #17625 on: November 12, 2020, 01:36:57 PM »


So is Graham finally in the acceptance stage of grief?
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n1240
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« Reply #17626 on: November 12, 2020, 01:46:25 PM »

When will we know the first results from the mail ballots in NY? I know they are slow to count.

Most counties will only report votes in their final official results, or may be picked up by local media outlets. The only county really actively reporting their absentee count right now is Onondaga County where Biden currently leads by 60%, a 52% swing from their final election day total.

edit: Cayuga County as well, Biden+35, a 54% swing.
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #17627 on: November 12, 2020, 01:48:02 PM »

Arizona is no longer in doubt, but for those interested: Pinal County zeroed out their estimated ballots remaining (they only had 135 before that).  There are now five counties with a significant number (>10) of estimated ballots left:

Pima: 10,700, currently 59-40 Biden
Maricopa: 6,715, 50-48 Biden
Cochise: 3,319, 58-40 Trump
Yuma: 2,155, 52-46 Trump
Apache: 1,700, 66-33 Biden

Not all will be counted.

Right, the lion's share of those are provisionals.


Is it fair to say Biden's margin will likely increase once these votes are counted?
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n1240
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« Reply #17628 on: November 12, 2020, 01:50:06 PM »

Arizona is no longer in doubt, but for those interested: Pinal County zeroed out their estimated ballots remaining (they only had 135 before that).  There are now five counties with a significant number (>10) of estimated ballots left:

Pima: 10,700, currently 59-40 Biden
Maricopa: 6,715, 50-48 Biden
Cochise: 3,319, 58-40 Trump
Yuma: 2,155, 52-46 Trump
Apache: 1,700, 66-33 Biden

Not all will be counted.

Right, the lion's share of those are provisionals.


Is it fair to say Biden's margin will likely increase once these votes are counted?


Trump is generally doing better among provisionals, even in Pima County thus far so I think his margin still decreases a bit but Trump of course has no shot at winning at this point.
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #17629 on: November 12, 2020, 01:51:35 PM »

When will we know the first results from the mail ballots in NY? I know they are slow to count.

Most counties will only report votes in their final official results, or may be picked up by local media outlets. The only county really actively reporting their absentee count right now is Onondaga County where Biden currently leads by 60%, a 52% swing from their final election day total.

edit: Cayuga County as well, Biden+35, a 54% swing.

NY has one of the least transparent and efficient vote counting operations I've seen. There really should be bipartisan pressure on the state to do a better job. Kind of ridiculous that states like FL and TX with more people can get their counts in basically on election night if not a few days afterwards while NY is still stuck at 80% reporting a week and a half after the election.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #17630 on: November 12, 2020, 02:10:33 PM »

When will we know the first results from the mail ballots in NY? I know they are slow to count.

Most counties will only report votes in their final official results, or may be picked up by local media outlets. The only county really actively reporting their absentee count right now is Onondaga County where Biden currently leads by 60%, a 52% swing from their final election day total.

edit: Cayuga County as well, Biden+35, a 54% swing.

Wow so maybe Biden's gonna dominate in upstate NY as lots of the district polls suggested after all.
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Person Man
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« Reply #17631 on: November 12, 2020, 02:13:59 PM »

When will we know the first results from the mail ballots in NY? I know they are slow to count.

Most counties will only report votes in their final official results, or may be picked up by local media outlets. The only county really actively reporting their absentee count right now is Onondaga County where Biden currently leads by 60%, a 52% swing from their final election day total.

edit: Cayuga County as well, Biden+35, a 54% swing.

Wow so maybe Biden's gonna dominate in upstate NY as lots of the district polls suggested after all.

Would help a 7 seat majority become a 13 seat majority.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #17632 on: November 12, 2020, 02:16:31 PM »

Quote
Pope Francis on Thursday became the latest in a string of world leaders congratulating Joe Biden on his projected victory in the 2020 election, even as President Trump and a handful of world leaders have refused to acknowledge him as President-elect.

Biden had a phone call with Pope Francis Thursday morning, during which he “thanked His Holiness for extending blessings and congratulations,” according to a readout of the call released by the Biden transition team.

...

https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewsolender/2020/11/12/pope-francis-becomes-latest-world-leader-to-congratulate-joe-biden/?sh=22255317165a
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17633 on: November 12, 2020, 02:31:26 PM »


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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17634 on: November 12, 2020, 02:39:06 PM »

On top of everything else in Georgia...


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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #17635 on: November 12, 2020, 02:39:12 PM »

They deleted his victory apparently.


This is getting out of hand...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17636 on: November 12, 2020, 02:49:03 PM »

More vote out of Allegheny, Biden's lead 54K now statewide.

Joe Biden 3,390,729
Donald Trump 3,336,751

About ~8K provisionals out of Allegheny broke 55-45 for Biden. ~4K provisionals from Delaware Co broke 63-36.

That's quite high for Trump, isn't it?

It may have been from the less D part of the county.  They still have another batch to process plus disputed ones.  Outside of the Philly area though, there won't be a treasure trove of D votes.

That's not true. Most of the provisionals still out are from Allegheny and SEPA/East PA. And there's still nearly 45K mail ballots left to count in the state as well, nearly 10K of which are in Philly, and I believe still 5-7K in Allegheny.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #17637 on: November 12, 2020, 02:57:25 PM »

They deleted his victory apparently.


This is getting out of hand...

Agreed. Trump should actually be banned from Twitter. Or "terminated" to use his language.
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Beet
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« Reply #17638 on: November 12, 2020, 03:00:50 PM »

Maybe this will get Republicans to support mandatory paper ballots and scientifically sampled verification for voting machines.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #17639 on: November 12, 2020, 03:01:51 PM »

They deleted his victory apparently.


This is getting out of hand...

Yes it is.  After he leaves office he should be named an enemy of the state and arrested.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #17640 on: November 12, 2020, 03:02:16 PM »



I didn't know getting fired by Trump was part of the Krebs Cycle.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17641 on: November 12, 2020, 03:02:57 PM »

Do we know how many votes are out in NV and when they are expected to keep counting?
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Dr. Frankenstein
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« Reply #17642 on: November 12, 2020, 03:04:01 PM »

They deleted his victory apparently.


This is getting out of hand...

Agreed. Trump should actually be banned from Twitter. Or "terminated" to use his language.

I think that this would actually make it worse. However, people around him and high-ranking Rs should intervene before it’s too late.
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
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« Reply #17643 on: November 12, 2020, 03:12:10 PM »



I didn't know getting fired by Trump was part of the Krebs Cycle.

It’s part of the Cellular Repiratory Disease that’s been sweeping the nation.
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Person Man
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« Reply #17644 on: November 12, 2020, 03:12:38 PM »

They deleted his victory apparently.


This is getting out of hand...

Agreed. Trump should actually be banned from Twitter. Or "terminated" to use his language.

I think that this would actually make it worse. However, people around him and high-ranking Rs should intervene before it’s too late.

It would literally destroy the country if he is still president on the 21st of January.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #17645 on: November 12, 2020, 03:36:37 PM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/kylenabecker/status/1326964979237597185

Will this change the outcome? Have these been counted yet?
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Person Man
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« Reply #17646 on: November 12, 2020, 03:39:20 PM »

I don’t think they have.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17647 on: November 12, 2020, 03:39:23 PM »


They have been segregated and not included in the totals.  This cannot affect the outcome.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #17648 on: November 12, 2020, 03:40:29 PM »

Only 10k came in, so it won't change the outcome as Biden lead by more than 50k. This does suck though, as they should be counted
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #17649 on: November 12, 2020, 03:46:30 PM »

I don't think that ruling involves late ballots. I think it involves ballots cured after election day.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pennsylvania-court-secretary-of-state-changed-deadline.amp?__twitter_impression=true

Sorry about the Fox News link.

Edit: So ballots cured by the 9th are fine but nothing after that?
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