2004 Election Timeline: President Gephardt? (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2004 Election Timeline: President Gephardt? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Does Gephardt win the presidency? If so how much does he win by?
#1
Gephardt will win and he'll get over 300 electoral votes
 
#2
Gephardt will win and he'll get anywhere from 280-300 electoral votes
 
#3
This will be a true toss-up and the winning side will receive less than 280 electoral votes
 
#4
Gephardt will lose and Bush will get anywhere from 280 to 300 electoral votes
 
#5
Gephardt will lose and Bush will win with over 300 electoral votes
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 23

Author Topic: 2004 Election Timeline: President Gephardt?  (Read 2010 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,667
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« on: June 25, 2020, 01:13:59 PM »

There really wasn't an appetite for moderation because of Nader siphoning votes away from the base. Same with 2008, really. The narrative switched from people being fatigued from Bush's hard right views on social policy and hawkish foreign policy to one where his moderate economic and immigration/racial views caused the recession.  As in both 2012 and 2004, the opposition tried to shore up the base and when they lost the very close election by slightly more than expected, the establishment saw that the base wasn't delivering. Republicans were talking about a post-election road map and Democrats in the months following the election were seriously talking about denouncing Roe v. Wade as going "too far" and sacrificing the "sacred cows" of social security and medicare.  The ironic thing is that base would do a hostile takeover of the party during the following election cycle and win by more than expected.   
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