PA Monmouth - Biden +4 (user search)
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  PA Monmouth - Biden +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA Monmouth - Biden +4  (Read 4369 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« on: September 02, 2020, 10:16:32 AM »
Quote from: Pollster on September 02, 2020, 10:09:11 AM
Usual Monmouth caveat of a very small sample and high margin of error.

I urge this board not to overreact - Biden 49/45 and Biden 53/40 are essentially the same result when your margin of error is 5%.

Excellent methodology (which Monmouth has) doesn't defy this.

Good luck with that one.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70
« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2020, 03:31:12 PM »
Quote from: Red Wall on September 02, 2020, 02:55:30 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 02, 2020, 12:02:52 PM
The recent swing state polls aren't in line with national figures.

Either the national lead for Biden is heavily inflated, or he's running up the score in DEM states and cutting the margins from 2016 in heavily Trump states.

Or the swing state polls are off.
The DNC ratings say he's running up the score in dem states. RNC had lower ratings but better ratings in swingy markets like Pittsburgh.

The Pittsburgh media market voted for Trump by 9 points, hardly a swing market.
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