What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (user search)
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  What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What % chance do you give the Dems to win all 3 states (KY/LA/MS)
#1
0%
 
#2
1-10%
 
#3
11-20%
 
#4
21-30%
 
#5
31-40%
 
#6
41-50%
 
#7
51-60%
 
#8
61-70%
 
#9
71-80%
 
#10
81-90%
 
#11
91-100%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: What % chance do you give for a 2019 Dem sweep?  (Read 7887 times)
Ilhan Apologist
Glowfish
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157


« on: July 01, 2019, 10:28:13 AM »

Why is Jim Hood so much more likely to win than Andy Beshear?
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Ilhan Apologist
Glowfish
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157


« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2019, 10:58:55 AM »


That's what I thought
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Ilhan Apologist
Glowfish
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157


« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2019, 11:29:07 AM »

Also, you have to win the majority of counties to win the governorship in Mississippi, right? That pretty much locks any Democrat out.
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Ilhan Apologist
Glowfish
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157


« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2019, 10:36:24 AM »

Louisiana 75%
Kentucky 35%
Mississippi 25% (I don’t buy the hype here at all.)

So a 6.56% chance of a Dem sweep.

 

But are the chances of wins completely independent from one another?
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