55% GOP Sweep
35% GOP 2/3
9% DEM 2/3
1% DEM Sweep
It's Louisiana, Kentucky, and Mississippi, and Atlas is delusional.
55% GOP sweep??? For that Abraham must have at least 55% (in fact - closer to 60%) chance in Louisiana. Even for this conservative state that's too much (JBE is fairly popular, and, thanks God, as 2018 has shown, governor races are still considerably less polarized by party, then federal), especially - with candidate being little known, obscure and dull congressman. With Kennedy - yes, it would be true, but - not with present bench of Republican candidates.
Yeah, if anything his prediction of a 55% chance of a GOP sweep is delusional, and LOL at all the "1%/<1%/0% DEM Sweep" predictions. JBE is a popular incumbent who’s a good fit for his state and already ahead in polling by comfortable margins, Hood is a popular statewide elected official facing a weak GOP field and running in a state with a very high black population that came within 7% of electing a Democratic sacrificial lamb to the
Senate, and Bevin is very unpopular and already trailing in polling. If "polarization" was the unstoppable force people are making it out to be, Larry Hogan wouldn’t have won reelection by 12% in one of the most Democratic and "inelastic" states in the country in a massive Democratic wave year, and a Democrat wouldn’t have won a Senate race in a Trump +42 state where the president remains extremely popular.
Poll
