Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Jeppe]

If I were an Alabama republican, I would write-in Strange. No vote for the (likely) pedo, and no vote for a Democrat. Problem solved.

From the Atlanta mayoral election to the Virginia gubernatorial election and many others across the nation this year, Democratic enthusiasm has been seriously underestimated. I'm not saying I expect Doug Jones to win, but it's still possible folks.

I'll give you Virginia. However, the Atlanta Mayor's race was won by about 700 votes in both 2009, and 2017 (little change there).

I think they meant that Norwood was leading by like 6 points in the last poll but ended up losing to the Democrat.

[Jeppe]

I think Sue Bell Cobb would've had this race in the bag at this point, too bad she's running for Governor. I think Jones is going to pull off a narrow win due to turnout among Republicans sharply declining.

[Jeppe]

Early turnout reports in Virginia indicated an incoming Democratic wave, with turnout being remarkably high in NoVa.

[Jeppe]

Apparently CBS's exit poll is expected around 5:00? Don't crucify me

EST or Central?

[Jeppe]

Trump approval being at 48-48 could be very big if this is representative. This I think points to Jones winning.

Didn’t Jones run ahead of Trump’s approval rating by 10 points in almost all the polls? If Fox News got this right, lol...

[Jeppe]

"It's Massachusetts" Martha Coakley said before losing to a Republican in 2010

"It's Alabama" Roy Moore said.....

Get your own Gillibrand sig!

[Jeppe]

Is there a PredictIt alternative for Canadians?

[Jeppe]

Nina Turner just called Roy Moore "batshit crazy" on CNN.

Well, I think that’s the first time I’ve ever agreed with her.

[Jeppe]

I will happily accept my accolades if Jones wins, but it's still too early to tell right now.

[Jeppe]

There's about 200 precinct left to report in Moore counties, compared to the 800 or so left overall.

[Jeppe]

I haven't actually made a prediction yet for this race. I predicted the VA 2017 to a tee, so let's see how I do in 48 hours or so. I'm going to predict a narrow 3 point Jones win, but I definitely feel less confident about this than my VA prediction, where I just knew that Dems were going to outperform the polls

 I think the electorate will be different than what pollsters/people are expecting, especially with Republican turnout. I can certainly see a large portion of Republicans waking up on election day and despite supporting Moore, decide not to show up to the polls.

I guessed the VA election and the margin on the dot, and it looks like Alabama is the same story. Go me! Go me! Go me!