VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[LimoLiberal]

^^^^

I guarantee you Ed Gillespie will underperform all of those margins for the first county on that list

[LimoLiberal]

I have real data from Arlington county. Gigantic turnout, with precincts having 200-300 more votes than the "high target" Arlington democrats set. Probably at least 10% higher than 2013 and 2014.

[LimoLiberal]

Have a bad feeling think Gillespie narrowly wins.

Me too. The rain has f***ed everything up.

[LimoLiberal]

Its over. Calling it now: rain has destroyed Northam in northern virginia, and also the competitive HOD races.  Gillespie wins by 2-3 points, and a very slight or none at all net gain for Democrats in the house.

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/928020721032417280


Its over for Northam. That's the same Trump approval spread as the Rasmussen poll.

[LimoLiberal]

Fairfax County turnout surging as the clouds lift.

Wrong. Still pouring like a mofo. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=lwx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

[LimoLiberal]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Looks like Dems will gain 2 open seats in NOVA but lose two there as well. So net zero gain. If PWC turnout wasn't so poor, it would've been much better.

[LimoLiberal]

How do things bode for the state legislature?

Looks like Dems will gain 2 open seats in NOVA but lose two there as well. So net zero gain. If PWC turnout wasn't so poor, it would've been much better.

Jesus f----ing Christ why would they lose seats in nOVA? Explain that one to me plz

Sorry only one D loss in NOVA.
They're going to lose John Bell's seat and Mullin's seat in SE VA.

[LimoLiberal]

Here we go. Gillespie win imminent.

https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/928043886039183362

[LimoLiberal]

Oh sh**t. Brunswick. Thats devastating for Northam.

[LimoLiberal]

Oh c'mon dude. So tone deaf. You need to issue a statement today saying that you fully support the expansion of Medicaid to 400,000 virginians and will work with and lobby Republicans to support it.

[LimoLiberal]

WTF?

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/969973106453426178

Our partners at MSNBC will be releasing a comprehensive analysis of Virginia 2017 turnout/vote history soon, but as a teaser - the electorate was actually older than it was in '13, '14, and '16 (29% over the age of 65).

That defies all reason.

[LimoLiberal]

Its over. Calling it now: rain has destroyed Northam in northern virginia, and also the competitive HOD races.  Gillespie wins by 2-3 points, and a very slight or none at all net gain for Democrats in the house.

For those who have been on this forum for a long time - how does this post rank in terms of iconic posts of Atlas?

[LimoLiberal]

For those who have been on this forum for a long time - how does this post rank in terms of iconic posts of Atlas?

It's pretty iconic. It's up there with users who themselves are/were iconic but never actually made one single post that was so well-remembered, like eharding.

But, you know, your post isn't memorialized for good reasons...

Oh I'm well aware

[LimoLiberal]

For those who have been on this forum for a long time - how does this post rank in terms of iconic posts of Atlas?

It's pretty iconic. It's up there with users who themselves are/were iconic but never actually made one single post that was so well-remembered, like eharding.

But, you know, your post isn't memorialized for good reasons...

He's turned into another Eharding, with a pathetic obsession to be 'recognized' in this forum to the point that it'll come back to haunt him after he gets himself eventually banned.

Thank you for your analysis, sir.