2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191449 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,765
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« on: December 09, 2019, 06:24:04 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on December 08, 2019, 10:01:51 PM
Quote from: #Klobmentum on December 08, 2019, 06:39:23 PM
Yang is hyping up good news in the coming week. So, he's either full of it, or we are getting a new poll soon.

https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1203783533912842240

I wonder how he got that info early... sounds a little shady!

Not really. Someone on his team might know someone. I know someone at Monmouth who has told me polling results before release.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #1 on: February 02, 2020, 08:30:56 AM »
Quote from: Hollywood on February 02, 2020, 04:16:53 AM
Again. After hours of thinking about it.  This doesn't make sense.  Buttigieg starts with a B.  How was it the last selection in the poll.  CNN's involvement is suspect.  They weren't a real news organization and they still aren't.  F the establishment Democrats that take them or their excuses at face value.  Bernie was leading in that poll so they pulled it.  That is the most sensible explanation. If the Dems want to unite, there you go.  IT'S BERNIE. 

Oh my god just shut up the caucus is tomorrow anyway and it's more important than one random poll.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2020, 04:34:38 PM »
Data Progress is polling Nevada right now.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2020, 12:37:14 PM »
I wish people would clarify which time zones they mean when they give a time.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2020, 06:39:34 PM »
That averages to 47 D - 42.5 R assuming every district accounts for 25% of the vote.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2020, 02:08:06 PM »
I’m assuming Iowa’s presidential numbers will release in about 4 hours from now, the same time they released the past two days. Based on the numbers we’ve already seen, I’m expecting Biden up anywhere from 2 to 5 points.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2020, 04:33:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 19, 2020, 04:05:48 PM
Has Nate Cohn revealed if Siena is doing the live polls again this fall?

This was too stressful.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #7 on: July 10, 2020, 01:18:37 AM »
I’m guessing Montana or Georgia.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2020, 08:21:21 PM »
Could be OK-05.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2020, 11:36:28 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on August 20, 2020, 11:34:47 PM
Any word on when we'll be getting a barrage of quality post-DNC polling?

Probably Sunday the earliest.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2020, 10:45:25 PM »
B+8 I guess.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2020, 03:38:27 PM »
Apparently the math based on the crosstabs is Biden 55 Trump 40.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2020, 03:44:03 PM »
The math was right.

edit: oh wait thought it was released.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2020, 09:27:41 AM »
It wouldn’t make sense for them to have Nevada polling to the right of Arizona, but we’ll see.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2020, 10:21:41 AM »
Why does Emerson tease us about which states it’s releasing.... just tell us and move on.
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 10:14:45 AM »
Prediction:

GA B+2
OH B+5
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2020, 10:21:26 PM »
Marquette will be B+5
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2020, 01:14:02 PM »
A NYT/Siena poll with a small amount of undecideds? I’ll believe it when I see it.
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