2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 624945 times)
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2020, 08:39:58 PM »

This is weird. Biden is still obviously favored, but this is weird.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2020, 09:49:10 PM »

Explain? Most of the remaining vote is now in the urban and suburban counties and Biden is still up. The rurals are almost all in except the NE black belt counties.



I thought Union was heavily outstanding tho?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2020, 10:05:48 PM »

This is 2018 2.0. And the electoral college is gonna match the 2018 house popular vote by state.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2020, 10:35:37 PM »

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

Is anyone doubting that?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2020, 10:36:58 PM »

Senate looking surprisingly good considering Biden is not on course for a landslide.

NC?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2020, 10:37:38 PM »


Actually I was thinking something similar. Definitely not the 413 landslide, RIP to that dream. But a win is a win.

Yeah. Back to the 290 map.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2020, 11:49:28 PM »

Deschutes County, OR is blue. *unzips, finally*

Marion County is now also +5% Biden as well!!!

Narrow lead for Biden in Yamhill too.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #32 on: November 04, 2020, 12:13:44 AM »

I'm so drunk. Just an update for everyone.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #33 on: November 04, 2020, 12:14:03 AM »


I love your state Purple heart
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #34 on: November 04, 2020, 12:15:13 AM »

I'm so drunk. Just an update for everyone.

Did you finish all the bottle of champagne?

And more Smiley
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #35 on: November 04, 2020, 12:28:25 AM »

Just remember everyone, Doug Collins is now unemployed. That's nice.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #36 on: November 04, 2020, 12:34:40 AM »

Jesus Christ.

F#ck polls. If Biden loses this, we might as well ignore polls altogether and just keep running like we're ten points behind.

I agree but remember, Florida and North Carolina were always tossups according to the polls and Ohio and Iowa always favored Trump. If PA/MI/WI go for Trump I guess, but right now, I'm not that concerned.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #37 on: November 04, 2020, 12:39:36 AM »

he's only winning Oklahoma County with a plurality.
Seriously, f#ck third party votes in competitive races.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #38 on: November 04, 2020, 12:41:41 AM »

Kevin McCarthy is only leading his Democratic opponent 54-46. This is the most GOP district in the state.

Further confirming that California is the best state in the nation.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #39 on: November 04, 2020, 12:55:18 AM »

Hunker down guys! I'm staying awake until at least 3 AM PACIFIC
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #40 on: November 04, 2020, 12:57:27 AM »

Major vote drops to come in Fulton and DeKalb for GA.  Looks to be a big comeback for Biden.  The question is well it will be enough.

I’m going to say No.

Big surprise.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #41 on: November 04, 2020, 02:05:55 AM »

Biden is already almost at Clinton's vote total. Turnout is insane.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #42 on: November 04, 2020, 02:42:08 AM »

How do you guys feel about Georgia? 50/50?

No idea so ima just trust the needle: 60/40. They've been right so far.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #43 on: November 04, 2020, 02:43:34 AM »

When are they just gonna call AZ-Pres and AZ-Sen ffs?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #44 on: November 04, 2020, 02:46:12 AM »

Yeah it’s time to push left on fiscal issues and right on social issues.

Ew no. You really think that's what cost us in Fla and TX?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #45 on: November 04, 2020, 02:49:03 AM »

Yeah it’s time to push left on fiscal issues and right on social issues.

Ew no. You really think that's what cost us in Fla and TX?

Considering you see 60 point swings in poor rural Tejano counties?

Yes lol.

I think it's pretty clear that left on economics is bad with Latinos.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #46 on: November 04, 2020, 02:50:31 AM »

Without being abused can someone give me a rational case for why that stupid needle still favours Biden in Georgia?

The outstanding vote is in Atlanta and heavily favors Biden.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #47 on: November 04, 2020, 02:51:28 AM »

Yeah it’s time to push left on fiscal issues and right on social issues.

Ew no. You really think that's what cost us in Fla and TX?

TX definitely

And if we did the inverse we wouldn't have our historic margins in Collin/Hays/Williamson. You can't have it both ways.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #48 on: November 04, 2020, 02:58:49 AM »

Yeah it’s time to push left on fiscal issues and right on social issues.

Ew no. You really think that's what cost us in Fla and TX?

Considering you see 60 point swings in poor rural Tejano counties?

Yes lol.

I think it's pretty clear that left on economics is bad with Latinos.

*Cubanos. I think it's inconclusive whether it hurts with Chicanos and Puerto Ricans.

Perhaps. Although I'd speculate that more are likely to vote R on small business issues than on Democrats not hating transgender people or whatever.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


« Reply #49 on: November 04, 2020, 02:59:36 AM »


Finally.
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