Bachmann wins Iowa straw poll

[AUH2O Libertarian]

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The moneybomb actually brought in 625K and it's all going directly towards Ames.

And if you read his FEC filings, he has already reserved over 100K worth of buses and he will have pick ups in every county for Ames.  In addition, the Grassroots through a PAC they just formed will also have a couple dozen buses lined up bringing in even more supporters.  If you read Ron Paul Forums, you'll see his supporters have been strategizing about winning Ames for almost two years now.

[AUH2O Libertarian]

I'll take a stab at the top 3:

T1) Bachmann: ~29%
T2)Paul: ~28%
T3)Perry Write In: ~12%
T3)Pawlenty: ~12%

[AUH2O Libertarian]

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So you can't be a Republican unless you think in lockstep that Bush was justified in dragging us into useless wars?

[AUH2O Libertarian]

I'm pulling for Paul. Something tells me he'll eke by Bachmann for first.  They're the only two with highly motivated bases.

Romney as a write in will then barely upset Pawlenty for third.

[AUH2O Libertarian]

I'll take a stab at the top 3:

T1) Bachmann: ~29%
T2)Paul: ~28%
T3)Perry Write In: ~12%
T3)Pawlenty: ~12%

I've heard 16K total votes.  Assuming that is correct.

4,823 – Bachmann (30%)
4,671 – Paul (29%)
2,293 – Pawlenty (8%)

Dang I'm pretty good at predictions.

[AUH2O Libertarian]

I'll take a stab at the top 3:

T1) Bachmann: ~29%
T2)Paul: ~28%
T3)Perry Write In: ~12%
T3)Pawlenty: ~12%

I've heard 16K total votes.  Assuming that is correct.

4,823 – Bachmann (30%)
4,671 – Paul (29%)
2,293 – Pawlenty (8%)

Dang I'm pretty good at predictions.

The percentages are as follows:

Bachmann 29%
Paul 28%
Pawlenty 14%
Santorum 10%
Cain 9%
Perry 4%
Romney 3%
Gingrich 2%
Huntsman 0%
McCotter 0%

If I said I basically called this race, I wouldn't be lying.

[AUH2O Libertarian]

Winners: Paul, Santorum
Losers: Pawlenty, Romney

Everyone else is a wash.  Including Perry.  ~700 votes for "the next big thing"?  I think it shows his weakness.

I think Bachmann gained quite a bit simply by solidify herself as the Iowa frontrunner.

I do agree that I think Perry will wash out and fail to live up to expectations.  Like Huntsman, I think he'll turn out to be another media creation.