2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 629841 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #18250 on: November 16, 2020, 10:44:31 AM »

Thanks for the link.
Lol.

Cherokee County NC is 109.48% Trump.

LOLing IRL rn.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #18251 on: November 16, 2020, 10:50:51 AM »

Sooooo according to this, Trump wins PA by 23 but loses MN by 7??? He wins Virginia by 13, but only wins Florida by 4?Huh
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Mike88
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« Reply #18252 on: November 16, 2020, 10:53:02 AM »


And even with no fraud, they lose Nevada...
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emailking
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« Reply #18253 on: November 16, 2020, 11:21:38 AM »

On that site, Biden has negative votes in some counties once you take out the voter fraud.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #18254 on: November 16, 2020, 11:24:18 AM »

That site subtracts votes from Biden, but doesn't add any for Trump. Basically they are just randomly selecting places to alter vote totals.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18255 on: November 16, 2020, 11:53:24 AM »

If I am reading their website right, there are still 311,519 ballots left to count in Ohio.

Source
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iceman
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« Reply #18256 on: November 16, 2020, 11:53:36 AM »

Virginia gets certified today but some jurisdictions are still not >99% like Fairfax county, Arlington, Alexandria, Norfolk city are in 90%. Does anyone know why counting is slow? Where are the updated figures?
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #18257 on: November 16, 2020, 11:57:36 AM »

Update: Biden has crossed 51% of the NPV, Trump at 47.3%. He's on track having a larger PV win than Obama '12.

NYS has still 84% counted. That's pathetic. What are they doing?

New York's elections systems are legendarily terrible, and have been for a while.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18258 on: November 16, 2020, 12:01:06 PM »

Virginia gets certified today but some jurisdictions are still not >99% like Fairfax county, Arlington, Alexandria, Norfolk city are in 90%. Does anyone know why counting is slow? Where are the updated figures?

Most states allow for the deadline to be extended.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #18259 on: November 16, 2020, 12:21:45 PM »

National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien:

"If the Biden-Harris ticket is determined to be the winner — and, obviously, things look that way now — we'll have a very professional transition with the national security council, no doubt about it."

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/16/935374786/national-security-adviser-says-it-looks-like-biden-has-won-the-election
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18260 on: November 16, 2020, 12:36:12 PM »

If I am reading their website right, there are still 311,519 ballots left to count in Ohio.

Source

Here is the county data:

County    Outstanding Absentees    Outstanding Provisionals   Totals   %
Franklin   27,820   24,252   52,072   16.72%
Cuyahoga   25,162   17,746   42,908   13.77%
Hamilton   13,120   13,284   26,404   8.48%
Summit   7,432   7,071   14,503   4.66%
Montgomery   6,731   7,154   13,885   4.46%
Lucas   6,990   5,805   12,795   4.11%
Butler   4,047   5,539   9,586   3.08%
Stark   4,566   4,583   9,149   2.94%
Lorain   3,529   3,829   7,358   2.36%
Mahoning   3,910   2,638   6,548   2.10%
Lake   2,972   2,899   5,871   1.88%
Trumbull   2,755   2,767   5,522   1.77%
Clermont   2,834   2,316   5,150   1.65%
Warren   2,159   2,546   4,705   1.51%
Greene   2,271   2,256   4,527   1.45%
Delaware   2,036   2,247   4,283   1.37%
Licking   1,751   2,462   4,213   1.35%
Medina   1,743   1,900   3,643   1.17%
Fairfield   1,459   1,966   3,425   1.10%
Portage   1,349   1,855   3,204   1.03%
Wood   1,117   1,901   3,018   0.97%
Clark   1,375   1,461   2,836   0.91%
Richland   995   1,506   2,501   0.80%
Allen   928   1,326   2,254   0.72%
Miami   942   1,239   2,181   0.70%
Ashtabula   1,122   1,030   2,152   0.69%
Tuscarawas   784   1,353   2,137   0.69%
Wayne   1,038   1,042   2,080   0.67%
Geauga   1,040   813   1,853   0.59%
Columbiana   846   909   1,755   0.56%
Athens   564   1,032   1,596   0.51%
Erie   755   828   1,583   0.51%
Scioto   620   942   1,562   0.50%
Lawrence   664   824   1,488   0.48%
Ross   604   860   1,464   0.47%
Marion   504   894   1,398   0.45%
Jefferson   678   692   1,370   0.44%
Muskingum   542   700   1,242   0.40%
Sandusky   606   616   1,222   0.39%
Knox   487   734   1,221   0.39%
Huron   468   728   1,196   0.38%
Washington   437   746   1,183   0.38%
Pickaway   407   771   1,178   0.38%
Belmont   548   607   1,155   0.37%
Hancock   475   647   1,122   0.36%
Union   392   680   1,072   0.34%
Ottawa   570   485   1,055   0.34%
Seneca   485   531   1,016   0.33%
Crawford   341   600   941   0.30%
Champaign   358   582   940   0.30%
Mercer   543   397   940   0.30%
Madison   390   539   929   0.30%
Clinton   420   507   927   0.30%
Ashland   346   556   902   0.29%
Shelby   283   610   893   0.29%
Brown   322   544   866   0.28%
Darke   302   553   855   0.27%
Gallia   330   521   851   0.27%
Fulton   308   521   829   0.27%
Henry   504   322   826   0.27%
Auglaize   313   512   825   0.26%
Perry   244   563   807   0.26%
Guernsey   315   490   805   0.26%
Logan   286   501   787   0.25%
Jackson   303   447   750   0.24%
Coshocton   268   468   736   0.24%
Morrow   296   433   729   0.23%
Williams   293   426   719   0.23%
Preble   277   437   714   0.23%
Highland   295   411   706   0.23%
Pike   327   363   690   0.22%
Defiance   256   398   654   0.21%
Carroll   247   318   565   0.18%
Fayette   180   343   523   0.17%
Wyandot   230   291   521   0.17%
Hardin   165   326   491   0.16%
Adams   202   273   475   0.15%
Hocking   210   241   451   0.14%
Putnam   176   263   439   0.14%
Paulding   124   247   371   0.12%
Van Wert   134   233   367   0.12%
Holmes   171   193   364   0.12%
Meigs   155   205   360   0.12%
Harrison   177   161   338   0.11%
Vinton   133   160   293   0.09%
Morgan   134   137   271   0.09%
Noble   98   144   242   0.08%
Monroe   103   83   186   0.06%
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #18261 on: November 16, 2020, 12:40:02 PM »

National Security Advisor Robert O'Brien:

"If the Biden-Harris ticket is determined to be the winner — and, obviously, things look that way now — we'll have a very professional transition with the national security council, no doubt about it."

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/16/935374786/national-security-adviser-says-it-looks-like-biden-has-won-the-election

Oh, you think, Robert?
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #18262 on: November 16, 2020, 01:29:24 PM »

Virginia gets certified today but some jurisdictions are still not >99% like Fairfax county, Arlington, Alexandria, Norfolk city are in 90%. Does anyone know why counting is slow? Where are the updated figures?

Anecdotal but when I voted early in Fairfax county there were a lot of voters who requested absentee ballots, didn't bring their ballot and tried to vote early.  Given that most people here voted early there were probably a lot of these issues.  Not sure if they got some kind of provisional and that's what's being sorted out.  But given that we don't have much experience with early voting it's probably taking them a long time. 

Anyways, if that's the case I'd expect Biden's win margin to go up higher in places like Fairfax County where it was 50/50 in Election Day voting but more like 80/20 for Biden in early voting.  Currently Biden is at 70.4%.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18263 on: November 16, 2020, 01:30:50 PM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #18264 on: November 16, 2020, 01:36:08 PM »


So:

Florida tomorrow.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #18265 on: November 16, 2020, 01:47:42 PM »

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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #18266 on: November 16, 2020, 02:02:18 PM »

Virginia gets certified today but some jurisdictions are still not >99% like Fairfax county, Arlington, Alexandria, Norfolk city are in 90%. Does anyone know why counting is slow? Where are the updated figures?

Anecdotal but when I voted early in Fairfax county there were a lot of voters who requested absentee ballots, didn't bring their ballot and tried to vote early.  Given that most people here voted early there were probably a lot of these issues.  Not sure if they got some kind of provisional and that's what's being sorted out.  But given that we don't have much experience with early voting it's probably taking them a long time. 

Anyways, if that's the case I'd expect Biden's win margin to go up higher in places like Fairfax County where it was 50/50 in Election Day voting but more like 80/20 for Biden in early voting.  Currently Biden is at 70.4%.

Naw, some of those % numbers are old and never were that accurate anyway.  Really it's just Richmond's provitionals  and a smattering of small adjustments to be made
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18267 on: November 16, 2020, 02:21:30 PM »

Interesting, so we should be getting 10K late arriving mail ins at some point (the ones that were allowed to be received up to 3 days after 11/3) I wonder when they'll add them to the totals.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #18268 on: November 16, 2020, 02:23:33 PM »


Raming through all these nominations and not even getting a hearing. Sad!
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Hammy
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« Reply #18269 on: November 16, 2020, 02:25:24 PM »

Why are New York and Ohio taking so long?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18270 on: November 16, 2020, 02:27:55 PM »

Alaska is about to fall into single digits

Trump 52.89%
Biden 42.74%

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1328414218354356224
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DrScholl
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« Reply #18271 on: November 16, 2020, 02:38:27 PM »

That's a drop of over 11,000 votes from his 2016 majority. It will definitely fall further considering that the Democratic areas have more left to count than the Republican areas. Republican areas look mostly complete.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18272 on: November 16, 2020, 02:55:14 PM »

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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #18273 on: November 16, 2020, 03:08:04 PM »

Quote
Note: In some cases the latest voting data may be delayed, and as more fraud is reported and analysed the fraud numbers may continue increase. We have a significant amount of voting data and fraud examples that we have received and have yet to process, so expect regular updates.

Did Trump put this website together himself? It's doing that thing where it keys in on one word and uses it ad nauseum.  

"Sure there's fraud.  Lots of fraud.  Even the smallest examples of fraud are huge examples of fraud.  All part of the fraud hoax.  All a hoax."  



Our election was hijacked by #BigFatFraud. There is no question. Congress has a duty to #ProtectOurDemocracyFromFraud & #FollowTheFactsNotTheFraud. #SAD #iWonTheElection





Uh... she was 100% right, which is why (despite Trump's best efforts) measures were put into place to prevent that from happening again, and consequently this election was far more secure.

It's ridiculous to try to "both sides" this. Hillary conceded within hours on election night despite there being much more legitimate grounds to dispute the results than this. And no one denied he did get the most votes in enough states to win, even if many voters were manipulated by Russian intelligence.

Your entire "both sides" act is ridiculous, in fact. It's REALLY getting old.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #18274 on: November 16, 2020, 03:08:38 PM »


Alaska may be irrelevant on a presidential level but on a Senate level, it's important. The Senate favors rural and sparsely populated states like Alaska. Democrats would be very wise to invest into Alaska for the next 10 years. Having Alaska be a purple/swing state with at least 1 Democratic senator would be crucial.
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