KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[SnowLabrador]

Bollier announces endorsements from 75 (former) GOP leaders/representatives. It was impressive when Paul Davis did this in '18, but after Kelly doing it and now Bollier, with the lists all being very close to one another, it loses some of it's effectiveness.

https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1297926914338893824?s=20

We will have to see if it loses its effectiveness. I want more polling for this race.

[brucejoel99]

Bollier announces endorsements from 75 (former) GOP leaders/representatives. It was impressive when Paul Davis did this in '18, but after Kelly doing it and now Bollier, with the lists all being very close to one another, it loses some of it's effectiveness.

https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1297926914338893824?s=20

She is - without a doubt - one of the best Senate recruits this year: not only is a doctor & a former Republican wonderful for the current political climate, but getting endorsed by Republicans even after Kobach was eliminated is some badass big tent energy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds should be weary of polling closing in time for the election, they wont even poll a CO Senate race.  I was optimistic about Ds chances, but Pelosi keep holding up a stimulus bill and today's Cardinal poll shows the Rs are coming home. Lean Marshall

[Pheurton Skeurto]

Wow, that list is extremely impressive.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

lol mostly retired nobodies and the few actives are almost all from swingy suburbs

[Hope For A New Era]

lol mostly retired nobodies and the few actives are almost all from swingy suburbs

But people don't need to know that. Moderate Republicans need "permission" to break with their party. This gives them that.

[tmthforu94]

Bollier is really pushing the "Republicans for Bollier" message and the ads work - very impressive. It makes sense she was able to get them to do this and I expect more - she has been a Republican for most of her life and worked very closely with these people, it goes deeper than just "she is willing to work across the aisle" as she was on the same side of the aisle with them for many years. I've heard whispers that Bollier's internals have her ahead right now, but don't know any more at this point.

https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1297896508663234560?s=20

[SnowLabrador]

Bollier is really pushing the "Republicans for Bollier" message and the ads work - very impressive. It makes sense she was able to get them to do this and I expect more - she has been a Republican for most of her life and worked very closely with these people, it goes deeper than just "she is willing to work across the aisle" as she was on the same side of the aisle with them for many years. I've heard whispers that Bollier's internals have her ahead right now, but don't know any more at this point.

https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1297896508663234560?s=20

If Bollier's internals have her ahead, then this race may well be a tossup. That's insane. Kobach would have lost for sure.

[brucejoel99]

Bollier is really pushing the "Republicans for Bollier" message and the ads work - very impressive. It makes sense she was able to get them to do this and I expect more - she has been a Republican for most of her life and worked very closely with these people, it goes deeper than just "she is willing to work across the aisle" as she was on the same side of the aisle with them for many years. I've heard whispers that Bollier's internals have her ahead right now, but don't know any more at this point.

https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1297896508663234560?s=20

Hopefully proof that this is the right message for her to have a shot in KS.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Still think that Marshall is a clear favorite but if this flips it'll be so epic

[MT Treasurer]

Nuclear take: Bollier isn’t in a worse position than Greenfield or Bullock.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Nuclear take: Bollier isn’t in a worse position than Greenfield or Bullock.

Greenfield is definitely in a better position than the other two

[Pollster]

New Marshall ad is not the type you expect from somebody well-positioned to win.

[SnowLabrador]

New Marshall ad is not the type you expect from somebody well-positioned to win.

I have KS as Likely R right now, so Marshall is in good position.

[wbrocks67]

New Marshall ad is not the type you expect from somebody well-positioned to win.

I really feel like people are underestimating Bollier's chances

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

New Marshall ad is not the type you expect from somebody well-positioned to win.

DISMEMBERMENT ABORTIONS is the name of my new metal band.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

How would it sounded? Barbara Bowyer's ads actually matched her liberal record here. This claim She's model, but the truth. ISS both voted for dismemberment. Abortions. That's what I believe in my heart. Pushed a gun ban in Kansas. All work to ban them nationwide. Taxpayer funded tuition for illegal immigrants. It's our responsibility. Liberal record liberal senator. That's not happening because Barbara Bowyer is just too. I'm Dr Roger Marcia and I approve this message.

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/lindsaywise/status/1303401426496913409?s=20

[Lognog]

https://twitter.com/lindsaywise/status/1303401426496913409?s=20

some people see this race as likely R, but clearly senate republicans disagree

[brucejoel99]

New Marshall ad is not the type you expect from somebody well-positioned to win.

I have KS as Likely R right now, so Marshall is in good position.

I don't think that's how it works.

[wbrocks67]

McConnell's senate arm also launched a *$5 MILLION* campaign starting today. They're scared of Bollier.

[walleye26]

If Bollier won, would her map be identical to Kelly’s? I think she would win but narrowly lose Sedgwick, Crawford, Harvey, and Lyon but get HUGE margins in JoCo, Shawnee, Douglas and Wyandotte  with solid wins in Riley and Leavenworth while improving a fair amount in Latino SW Kansas. 

[WD]

Hot take: KS is more likely to flip than MT at this point

[MT Treasurer]

If Bollier won, would her map be identical to Kelly’s? I think she would win but narrowly lose Sedgwick, Crawford, Harvey, and Lyon but get HUGE margins in JoCo, Shawnee, Douglas and Wyandotte  with solid wins in Riley and Leavenworth while improving a fair amount in Latino SW Kansas. 

I think she can afford to (and probably will) lose Crawford even if she wins statewide but she probably needs to win Sedgwick (narrowly), not least because Marshall should outperform Kobach by quite a bit in KS-01.

[Nutmeg]

How would it sounded? Barbara Bowyer's ads actually matched her liberal record here. This claim She's model, but the truth. ISS both voted for dismemberment. Abortions. That's what I believe in my heart. Pushed a gun ban in Kansas. All work to ban them nationwide. Taxpayer funded tuition for illegal immigrants. It's our responsibility. Liberal record liberal senator. That's not happening because Barbara Bowyer is just too. I'm Dr Roger Marcia and I approve this message.

If OC wrote Republican ads