2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85052 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #300 on: May 10, 2022, 10:08:46 AM »

WV-01: Mooney favored in incumbent vs incumbent matchup, but I expect geographic east/west divide. Mooney will probably do best in the eastern panhandle, while McKinley does best in the northwest.

NE-02: Most interested in partisan turnout here. Bacon has narrowly held on in both 2018 (2%) and 2020 (4.6%). D's narrowly outvoted R's in 2018, while R's narrowly outvoted D's in 2020. The district is slightly more Republican now, but Biden still won it by 6.3%.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #301 on: May 10, 2022, 05:13:30 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/05/10/us/elections/results-nebraska-west-virginia-primaries.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #302 on: May 10, 2022, 05:46:00 PM »


NE-02: Most interested in partisan turnout here. Bacon has narrowly held on in both 2018 (2%) and 2020 (4.6%). D's narrowly outvoted R's in 2018, while R's narrowly outvoted D's in 2020. The district is slightly more Republican now, but Biden still won it by 6.3%.

I would expect Republicans to have the greater turnout in NE-02 tonight. Much more competitive races at the top of the GOP ticket and and the Dem race in NE-02 will not be as competitive as 2018, 2020.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #303 on: May 10, 2022, 06:47:16 PM »

McKinley is leading!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #304 on: May 10, 2022, 06:57:47 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2022, 07:14:09 PM by Neoliberal Edgelord »

Big Vote Drop

WV-02 GOP PRIMARY
McKinley (R-inc): 7,639  (45.58%)
Mooney (R-inc): 7,424 (44.30%)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #305 on: May 10, 2022, 07:00:29 PM »

Calling WV-1 R for Miller!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #306 on: May 10, 2022, 07:04:26 PM »

WV-02 GOP PRIMARY
McKinley (R-inc): 3,750 (46.5%)
Mooney (R-inc): 3,465 (43.0%)

That looks so weird.
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LAB-LIB
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« Reply #307 on: May 10, 2022, 07:11:00 PM »

Mooney is winning by a bigger margin in his areas than McKinley is and a lot of this is early vote. I think Mooney is going to win.
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theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #308 on: May 10, 2022, 07:20:43 PM »

McKinley only up by 67 votes according to Decision Desk HQ
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #309 on: May 10, 2022, 07:21:19 PM »

Mooney has already taken the lead. If that Jefferson County margin (~50%-point lead for Mooney) is even close to the final result, I don’t see a path for McKinley. He’s also underperforming in his home turf.
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JMT
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« Reply #310 on: May 10, 2022, 07:23:02 PM »

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Matty
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« Reply #311 on: May 10, 2022, 07:23:28 PM »

It’s the same ijg story in every god damn primary

Trump’s pick does best with late deciders

Oz is going to win pa by 8 points

I want to slap people who let trump choose their pick
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #312 on: May 10, 2022, 07:24:51 PM »

Mooney is now leading by six points already. Yeah, it's safe to say he's going to win easily.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #313 on: May 10, 2022, 07:28:12 PM »

Calling WV-2 R for Mooney!
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #314 on: May 10, 2022, 07:29:14 PM »

In regards to the WV results later today, the political establishment of my state closing ranks around McKinley hasn't helped him.. somehow he's made Mooney come across as a insurgent outsider.
Yep.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #315 on: May 10, 2022, 07:31:03 PM »

I couldn’t care less who wins in West Virginia as the winner will win by 1.5 million votes, but Wasserman doesn’t need to throw a passive aggressive temper tantrum about it by repeatedly calling him Trump-endorsed lol.

Also I imagine people will call them dumb for voting against their own interests so can we skip that part?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #316 on: May 10, 2022, 07:32:55 PM »

I couldn’t care less who wins in West Virginia as the winner will win by 1.5 million votes, but Wasserman doesn’t need to throw a passive aggressive temper tantrum about it by repeatedly calling him Trump-endorsed lol.

Also I imagine people will call them dumb for voting against their own interests so can we skip that part?

Wasserman wants Trump back.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #317 on: May 10, 2022, 07:39:48 PM »

I couldn’t care less who wins in West Virginia as the winner will win by 1.5 million votes, but Wasserman doesn’t need to throw a passive aggressive temper tantrum about it by repeatedly calling him Trump-endorsed lol.

Also I imagine people will call them dumb for voting against their own interests so can we skip that part?

How on Earth is that a tantrum on Wasserman's part?  Noting that he's Trump-endorsed is certainly a pertinent comment, since one of the big questions in this election is how much Trump's endorsements will matter.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #318 on: May 10, 2022, 07:43:50 PM »

I couldn’t care less who wins in West Virginia as the winner will win by 1.5 million votes, but Wasserman doesn’t need to throw a passive aggressive temper tantrum about it by repeatedly calling him Trump-endorsed lol.

Also I imagine people will call them dumb for voting against their own interests so can we skip that part?

How on Earth is that a tantrum on Wasserman's part?  Noting that he's Trump-endorsed is certainly a pertinent comment, since one of the big questions in this election is how much Trump's endorsements will matter.

Saying it once is very pertinent since it helps to identify the candidates but if you look at the thread he repeatedly makes it a good vs bad moral dilemma, as he often does to rile up his following. This would be fine for a partisan reporter  but doing it as a supposedly neutral entity  is not good
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #319 on: May 10, 2022, 07:52:16 PM »

Calling WV-2 D for Wendell!

That wraps up WV
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Gracile
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« Reply #320 on: May 10, 2022, 07:54:32 PM »

This primary result is pretty bad for people who (ridiculously) think Joe Manchin has enough crossover appeal to move the needle in a Republican contest.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #321 on: May 10, 2022, 08:00:20 PM »

Beyond the impeachment 10, there is also an infrastructure 13. 5 of them have retired, while Don Young died suddenly. McKinley was one of those 13, and so that just got reduced by 1 tonight. So we're now down to 6 post-2022. Bacon also voted for it, but he'll probably win.
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JMT
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« Reply #322 on: May 10, 2022, 08:09:16 PM »

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Roll Roons
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« Reply #323 on: May 10, 2022, 08:09:56 PM »

Bacon's a great dude, he won't lose.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #324 on: May 10, 2022, 08:16:39 PM »

NE-GOV GOP PRIMARY:
Lindstrom: 18,356 (44.04%)
Pillen: 11,839 (28.41%)
Herbster: 7,322 (17.57%)
Thibodeau: 2,607 (6.26%)
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