Who will win the election?

[Sam Spade]

After watching Obama's incompetence at closing this one out, I now suspect only Clinton or McCain can win.

[Sam Spade]

Unless Bush gets his approval rating up to at least 45 percent I refuse to believe McCain will win. It would certainly be historically unprecedented if he did, given Bush's numbers.

I agree that Obama's showing yesterday is cause for concern, but I also am confident that he will fix the problems with his campaign within the next 8 months. Hopefully this will act as a wakeup call for him.

Nym, Obama has a lot of problems compared to Clinton if the race is close.  His only advantage in my mind (in the past) was his ability to achieve a popular vote victory of some size.  Yesterday makes me doubt whether that is ever possible.  McCain is just as good of a campaigner as Clinton.

[Sam Spade]

Look, putting your hands over your ears and screaming, "The race is over, the race is over" is a guaranteed way to lose the race.

Obama still has time to change his stripes and figure out how to take her out for good.  Even regardless of what I said before, I'm willing to give him a good chance (like the others) at winning the general if he figures this out.  We have plenty of time to find out.