Yes, Trump. Jeff Johnson is not Trump (he's not "populist") and Tim Walz is not Hillary Clinton. I don't see why Walz would have any problem doing what every other DFL Gubernatorial candidate in decades has done, especially with Trump now unpopular.
Uhh... Mark Dayton was the first DFL to be elected since 1986, I have no idea what "decades" you're talking about (in fact, we've only once elected a DFL candidate three elections in a row, and that was a popular Governor running for three terms).
I'm talking about the 8th, not the whole state.
Pawlenty never won it, and it voted DFL over Norm Coleman and Ventura. Also no non-Trump Republican for any office has won it in decades aside from that brief stint with Chip Cravaack.
Also how on Earth does Walz lose his district, CD-4 be more Democratic than CD-5 (WTF?) and Johnson break 35% in CD-5?! Republicans are lucky to break even a quarter of the vote in the fifth. And "the state winds are well against Walz", huh?