Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

Author Topic: Is Trump a lock to win the general election?  (Read 723 times)
The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« on: February 28, 2024, 07:52:49 PM »

No, but he probably has to either die or Biden has to be replaced with a different Democratic nominee for Trump to lose.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2024, 07:57:02 PM »


That’s the most optimistic you’ve been of Biden ever.

You always move the goalposts.

“October 7th locked up the election for Trump”
“The Hur report locked up the election for Trump”
“SCOTUS locked up the election for Trump”

Did you look at the context? What I mean is that Biden winning would be about as likely as me gaining the power of flight spontaneously.

Let me ask you this:

If the polls were flipped -- if Biden were a few points ahead on average instead of Trump -- would you then say that Biden was a lock?  Answer yes or no, and explain why.
I would if the party in power was also flipped. Biden has done a horrible job, so he is expected to lose based on fundamentals alone. Polls simply confirm the fundamentals.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2024, 07:59:54 PM »


That’s the most optimistic you’ve been of Biden ever.

You always move the goalposts.

“October 7th locked up the election for Trump”
“The Hur report locked up the election for Trump”
“SCOTUS locked up the election for Trump”

Did you look at the context? What I mean is that Biden winning would be about as likely as me gaining the power of flight spontaneously.

Let me ask you this:

If the polls were flipped -- if Biden were a few points ahead on average instead of Trump -- would you then say that Biden was a lock?  Answer yes or no, and explain why.

No, because polling tends to underestimate Trump whenever he's on the ballot.

LMAO!  At least you openly admit your pro-Trump hackery.  Trump's consistently UNDERperformed his polls throughout these primaries.
He underperformed Midwest polls in the 2016 primary too, and went on to outperform them in the general.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2024, 08:11:27 PM »

The problem for Biden is that the economy is trending the wrong direction right now.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.93, S: -3.83

P
« Reply #4 on: February 28, 2024, 09:00:38 PM »

No, but he probably has to either die or Biden has to be replaced with a different Democratic nominee for Trump to lose.

Here you go again.
Like a broken record.
Polling supports this idea.
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