Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Is Trump a lock to win the general election? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

Author Topic: Is Trump a lock to win the general election?  (Read 729 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,437
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

« on: February 28, 2024, 08:20:41 PM »

Would a Biden turnaround in the polls and victory be unprecedented, or has something similar happened before?
Going from trailing by a few points to leading by a few points is what typically happens in elections
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,437
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2024, 12:27:23 PM »

Who was the last incumbent to have approvals as bad as Biden? Hoover?

Everything is in Trump's favor right now.

Truman's were slightly lower at this point in his first term.  GHWB was about the same and on the way down.  Carter was in the midst of a mild uptick and was a bit higher at this point, but was lower before and after. 
Truman was also lower atp
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