Trump approval ratings thread 1.3

[Gass3268]

LOL, this poll has only been out for 40 minutes and RCP already has it in their database. It can take 12-24 hours before they put a good poll for Dems in their database. Rightwing Sean T strikes again, he's already tweeting about it.

[Virginiá]

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

This has nothing to do with me really.

The "megathread" is intended for casual polls that are popping up like mushrooms and show no real movement.

This poll deserves a thread on its own.

I remember in 2016 that time you posted a poll thread with a misleading subject and you insisted on arguing with half a dozen people instead of just making a small change.

You always think you are correct and your decisions must stand. Like I said, you are incredibly stubborn.

[Tender Branson]

Let's discuss the poll results again (and not if it deserves a thread on its own or not) ...

94% of registered voters have heard a lot or little about the summit.

71% think it was a good idea.

47% are confident that Trump can deal with NK properly, 49% are not.

12% say the US gained most from the summit, 39% NK and 39% both equally and 4% neither.

46% say it made Trump look stronger on the world stage, 12% weaker (36% no change).

46% say it made Kim look stronger on the world stage, 8% weaker (40% no change).

39% say suspending joint military exercises with SK is a good idea, 41% bad.

53% say the NK nuclear threat will decline, 37% disagree.

[BudgieForce]

But Tender thinks it is, and he is one of the forum's most stubborn users, so don't expect him to concede anything here.

This has nothing to do with me really.

The "megathread" is intended for casual polls that are popping up like mushrooms and show no real movement.

This poll deserves a thread on its own.

I remember in 2016 that time you posted a poll thread with a misleading subject and you insisted on arguing with half a dozen people instead of just making a small change.

You always think you are correct and your decisions must stand. Like I said, you are incredibly stubborn.

You call it stubborn, I call it obnoxious.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Lets ban Tender Branson!

[Tender Branson]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

[BudgieForce]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

Then put it in the megathread.

[Tender Branson]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

Then put it in the megathread.

Ehhh ... no.

Didn't I make my point clear ?

[BudgieForce]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

Then put it in the megathread.

Ehhh ... no.

Didn't I make my point clear ?

Then dont expect us to talk about the poll.

[Tender Branson]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

Then put it in the megathread.

Ehhh ... no.

Didn't I make my point clear ?

Then dont expect us to talk about the poll.

OK, so then "you" remain silent and others will talk about the poll instead.

[BudgieForce]

I'll just go post this poll in the megathread then and we can all discuss it there...

[BudgieForce]

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_us_061418.pdf/

Monmouth 6/12-6/13:

Approval - 43%(+2)
Disapproval - 46%(-4)

It looks like Trump got a small bump from the summit, but taking a poll the day directly after is probably making said bump appear somewhat bigger.  

Edit: Judging by that Qunnipiac Ohio poll though, I do expect we'll get a new poll from them showing the complete opposite in the coming days. Will probably counteract this one. Why its good to have an aggregate.

[pbrower2a]

Franklin&Marshall, Pennsylvania. It has two measures of support for President Trump:

Excellent/good 35%

No mention is of poor and fair as numbers, but they obviously must be high together. I cannot accept this polling.  

Favorability:

Strongly favorable 26%
Somewhat favorable 14%
Undecided 3%
Somewhat unfavorable 7%
Strongly unfavorable 51%

77% of Pennsylvanians have strong opinions of the President, and the negative opinions lead almost two to one.

I do not conflate favorability to approval even if the pollster suggests favorability is a measure of performance.

But nobody can deny that this is a horrid result in a state that President Trump barely won in 2016 and probably needs in 2020.  

June 4-10, and it will not be placed on the map.

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/93840024988851901-f-m-poll-release-june-2018.pdf

[Gass3268]

I'll just go post this poll in the megathread then and we can all discuss it there...

Thank you!

[Rookie Yinzer]

This doesn’t support my world view so I don’t believe it.

[Dr. Arch]

↑ Strongly unfavorable alone >50% is extremely bad news for Trump.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

↑ Strongly unfavorable alone >50% is extremely bad news for Trump.

With regards to North Korea, I don't think we will see much of a bump. The special election in Wisconsin acted sort of like a poll, and Trump's party still lost.

[Gass3268]

↑ Strongly unfavorable alone >50% is extremely bad news for Trump.

With regards to North Korea, I don't think we will see much of a bump. The special election in Wisconsin acted sort of like a poll, and Trump's party still lost.

TBF, nobody cares about North Korea when they are voting for their local State Senator.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

↑ Strongly unfavorable alone >50% is extremely bad news for Trump.

With regards to North Korea, I don't think we will see much of a bump. The special election in Wisconsin acted sort of like a poll, and Trump's party still lost.

TBF, nobody cares about North Korea when they are voting for their local State Senator.

What makes you think they'll care about it when voting for Congressmembers?

[Gass3268]

↑ Strongly unfavorable alone >50% is extremely bad news for Trump.

With regards to North Korea, I don't think we will see much of a bump. The special election in Wisconsin acted sort of like a poll, and Trump's party still lost.

TBF, nobody cares about North Korea when they are voting for their local State Senator.

What makes you think they'll care about it when voting for Congressmembers?

For the most part I don't, however there is more of a tangable connection between Congress and foreign policy.

[Badger]

The economy had recovered substantially by 2014 in many parts of the country and it didn't help Obama one bit.

1994 also comes heavily to mind. For that matter so do the 2000 and 2016 presidential elections.

[Badger]

Virginia & Co.:

Please stop whining around (if you do, you are comparable with Trump) and rather focus on the poll results.

Lets ban Tender Branson!

Then put it in the megathread.

Ehhh ... no.

Didn't I make my point clear ?

Then dont expect us to talk about the poll.

OK, so then "you" remain silent and others will talk about the poll instead.

Go outside, tender. I'm sure it's a beautiful day in Austria, and lots of women around for you to creep out.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Democracy Corps (D), June 1-5, 1400 RV with a subsample of 518 in 12 "battleground states": AZ, CO, FL, GA, MI, MN, NV, NM, OH, PA, TN, WI

National:

Approve 45 (strongly 21)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 42)

Battleground states:

Approve 46 (strongly 20)
Disapprove 54 (strongly 40)

Generic Congressional ballot: National D 51, R 42 (D+9), Battleground states D 49, R 43 (D+6)

[Virginiá]

Democracy Corps (D), June 1-5, 1400 RV with a subsample of 518 in 12 "battleground states": AZ, CO, FL, GA, MI, MN, NV, NM, OH, PA, TN, WI

National:

Approve 45 (strongly 21)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 42)

Battleground states:

Approve 46 (strongly 20)
Disapprove 54 (strongly 40)

Generic Congressional ballot: National D 51, R 42 (D+9), Battleground states D 49, R 43 (D+6)

D+6 isn't too shabby for that set of states, particularly with TN in the mix.

[KingSweden]

Democracy Corps (D), June 1-5, 1400 RV with a subsample of 518 in 12 "battleground states": AZ, CO, FL, GA, MI, MN, NV, NM, OH, PA, TN, WI

National:

Approve 45 (strongly 21)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 42)

Battleground states:

Approve 46 (strongly 20)
Disapprove 54 (strongly 40)

Generic Congressional ballot: National D 51, R 42 (D+9), Battleground states D 49, R 43 (D+6)

D+6 isn't too shabby for that set of states, particularly with TN in the mix.

GA too. NM is an odd inclusion though