Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

At this point I’m assuming anyone who votes for Moore should have their hard drive looked at by the FBI.

That's highly unethical.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Anyone consider that this could go the way of MO in 2012? Polling overall really underestimated McCaskill's margin and underestimated the backlash against Akin.

I think it's possible pollsters are herding towards Moore bc no one wants to be the dumbass who predicted a Dem would win in Alabama if Moore does pull it out (plus the fact that this race seems to have nothing but crap/questionable pollsters). But we shall find out Tuesday.

Yes, I agree with both of you. IMO this is definitely more likely to happen than many people here believe, and Moore is only ahead by 4 in the RCP polling average anyway.

Jones may very well win, but him winning by double digits just isn't possible. Missouri is much more liberal than Alabama.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Jones may very well win, but him winning by double digits just isn't possible. Missouri is much more liberal than Alabama.

Sure, no one said he would win by double digits, just that there's a possibility he outperforms the polling average by a lot like Northam or McCaskill.

Yeah, I think Jones winning by 5-6% wouldn't be incredibly surprising given the circumstances here, and the fact that this is a low turnout special election two weeks before Christmas.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Jones may very well win, but him winning by double digits just isn't possible. Missouri is much more liberal than Alabama.

Sure, no one said he would win by double digits, just that there's a possibility he outperforms the polling average by a lot like Northam or McCaskill.

Yeah, I think Jones winning by 5-6% wouldn't be incredibly surprising given the circumstances here, and the fact that this is a low turnout special election two weeks before Christmas.

With all the headlines and hubbub, I wouldn't be so sure about that whole "low turnout" thing.

Didn't the Alabama AG predict 20% turnout?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I posted it on the first page of this thread. The comment about blacks not voting Republican because they are stupid was rather saddening.

Usually the answer I hear from Republicans willing to be even more candid is that it's because the "Democrats give them free sh!t." Sometimes with the n-word throw in there.  Which to me sounds amazingly lacking in self-awareness.

Which is especially ironic considering nearly every white person I know who receives Government assistance voted for Trump.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

So we had this wonderful thing about Moore that just came out: http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/10/politics/kfile-roy-moore-aroostook-watchmen/index.html

Basically saying to get rid of the amendments after the tenth to 'eliminate many problems', but specifically in that in terms of references of amendments, it was that of both the 14th and the 17th Amendments.

Jones needs to run ads with this quote immediately.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I like this photo; it’s very badass.

Doug Jones is very badass. I like to imagine he's a strict yet tender daddy dom.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Oh

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https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/10/roy-moore-alabama-philadelphia-football-army-navy-288861

This won't have much of an impact, but this is truly deplorable.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

He does maybe 1-2% better, at most. I really think Jones has run a nearly flawless campaign, and if he loses, the blame lies solely on Alabama being too deeply Republican.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

When do the other polls promised for today (by Harry Enten, see above) get released?

Apparently never.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

“We shouldn’t be here, I’m leaving,” Moore said, according to Sailing.

LOL. Sure.

He probably stayed.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Don't read much into these anecdotal turnout bits, reminds me of how people were declaring Hillary the winner based off of high morning turnout in cities

Why go back so far? People were saying Northam landslide last month two hours after the polls opened based on turnout reports, then SW VA started to catch up and it started raining in NoVA and Northam was finished.

Yeah, I'm just covering my ears and waiting for the actual results to start trickling in.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Does anyone over 35 use Instagram other than Trump?

Jeanine Pirro loves showing off to the world how hot she thinks she is on it.

Ew

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

twitter dot com/MikeCasonAL/status/940633184609415168

Expected turnout is 25%, do you guys know what was turnout in 2010 Senator elections?

I can't find any info, but I believe it was probably higher than 25%.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Ed Gilespie just stated on David Axelrod's radio show that if he was an Alabamian he wouldn't have voted for Moore.

But he's not an Alabamian, so...

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Some twitter reports of regular black voters surprisingly being put on inactive voter lists.

*sigh*

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If Jones wins, his approval will automatically be ten points negative. Same for Moore. Neither will win reelection.

Nope. Jones is gonna be in there forever

Lol I wish. I don't see him winning re-election unless the GOP nominates someone like Moore again in 2020.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

If Rapist Roy Moore is elected today (99% chance this happens) then I hope Al franken rescinds his resignation and remains in the senate. Evan if he's "guilty" of accidentally touching people's asses that's NOTHING in comparison to attempting to F*** a 14 year old girl and GILLIBRAND and company should Know this.

When you sound like Trump, you know you're wrong.

Seriously, that is written exactly like a Trump tweet.

Why can't the democrats learn how to play hardballbe immoral "You elect a rapist, we keep are wrongly accused senatorscredibly accused serial harasser and groper" However gillibrand is going to run us over the cliff into oblivion with her self-promoting culture wars instead of a real Left-wing Economic platformthrowing away CO, VA, and FL as promoted by Sanders and Warren.

There. Fixed it.

Warren will hold Colorado and Virginia, and Florida isn't voting for any democrats including gillibrand, obamas wins in Florida were total flukes driven by unusually high black turnout. Democrats usually win Florida only "once in a blue moon" due to conservative Cubans, disenfranchised black people, and massive amounts of retired affluent white voters (The GOP base).

Lol wat
Florida going for Obama twice wasn't a fluke at all, it's been a perennial swing state since 1992.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

https://mobile.twitter.com/GDouglasJones/status/940631672894246912

Doug Jones only kisses age-appropriate women.

Awww

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Well this is something...

https://mobile.twitter.com/jbouie/status/940644406079754240

Black voters are of course crucial for Jones, but he also needs to get at least 35% of the white vote if he's going to win this.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/364478-sessions-wont-say-who-he-voted-for-in-alabama

Sessions does not recall who he voted for. (Well, he probably does, but he won't say)

Reality is like The Onion, now.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Win or lose tonight, I am proud of Doug and the campaign he ran.

Damn right. Doug has run a nearly flawless campaign, and if he does lose it'll be solely because Alabama is too red for any Democrat to win.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

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Puhleeze. Moore's been outspent 14:1 by Democrats. Desperation? Pitching 50 million to win a Senate race in Alabama.

That's not desperation at all when you have a real chance of winning the race.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.

We also got a lot of good turnout reports for HRC in 2016, so tread cautiously.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

https://twitter.com/rockrichard/status/940694880371781634

We're getting a lot of good turnout reports for Jones. That's what happened for Northam.

We also got a lot of good turnout reports for HRC in 2016, so tread cautiously.

True, although there's no electoral college here.

I recall individual state turnout reports being favorable to HRC, not just nationally.