Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win? (user search)
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  Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Yes (D/D leaner)		  
#2
Yes (R/R leaner)		  
#3
No (D/D leaner)		  
#4
No (R/R leaner)		  
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Total Voters: 107

Author Topic: Does Tim Ryan have a chance to win?  (Read 2598 times)
GeneralMacArthur
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« on: July 28, 2022, 10:59:12 PM »
There's this website I've been checking lately, www.bluewavehq.com, that pulls numbers from PredictIt and converts them into percentages, and has a time series of how they change day by day.

Right now it's got Tim Ryan 23% chance to win, up from 14% at the beginning of July.

That seems about right to me.  The candidate quality gap in this race is just tremendous and Ryan has a big fundraising advantage.
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GeneralMacArthur
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Posts: 11,039
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« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2022, 11:52:08 AM »
Quote from: Official Penguin Books Account on July 28, 2022, 11:05:04 PM
Vance could die right before the election, I guess.

That would probably only hurt Ryan lol
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