After HR1 passes, they'll be tossup, maybe Lean D. And that's why HR1 will pass. Democrats won't get another chance to save elections from permanent rigging.
Lol
I've already heard rumblings from some on the right that they will challenge HR1 in court if it passes, and that much of it would be struck down by the conservative majority on the Supreme Court. We'll see how things transpire. It's certainly not going to throw Ohio and Florida to the Democrats.
We'll see. I don't think Republicans want to strike down laws that allow the House to set rules like this, or else California could just decide to elect all 53 representatives in a single statewide at-large district, with 53 Democratic nominees, 53 Republican nominees, etc. Say hello to a permanent 53-0 lockout.
New York, etc., could also do that, but large Republican states might run into trouble with locking out minority representation if they tried it.