NY-20 Special Election (user search)
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  NY-20 Special Election (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY-20 Special Election  (Read 179812 times)
SamInTheSouth
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 389
« on: March 31, 2009, 10:12:18 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on March 31, 2009, 10:09:11 PM
Quote from: Torie on March 31, 2009, 10:05:15 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 31, 2009, 09:38:02 PM
Quote from: cinyc on March 31, 2009, 09:34:07 PM
All in but the absentees, recount and lawsuits:

Murphy 77,344   (50.02%)
Tedesco 77,279 (49.98%)

Murphy +65


Yes, that must be it for now. Hopefully the absentee ballots will favor Murphy, but it's not a done deal.

There can't be more than 200 overseas military voters ...

Why are the absentees expected to favor Murphy?

The NYGOP doesn't think so, but that's expected.  I've been asking what's the history here, but I seem to not be getting far.

65 votes is too large a deficit to overcome with only absentee ballots left in a special election.  Tedisco blew it.
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SamInTheSouth
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 389
« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2009, 10:18:59 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on March 31, 2009, 10:15:30 PM
I finally figured out the 6k-10k number thingy.

Quote
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Oh, 6,000 ballots?  That's different. Tedisco could easily over come the 65 vote deficit then and win the race.  I wasn't expecting more than a few hundred absentees.
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SamInTheSouth
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 389
« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2009, 10:26:02 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 31, 2009, 10:05:15 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 31, 2009, 09:38:02 PM
Quote from: cinyc on March 31, 2009, 09:34:07 PM
All in but the absentees, recount and lawsuits:

Murphy 77,344   (50.02%)
Tedesco 77,279 (49.98%)

Murphy +65


Yes, that must be it for now. Hopefully the absentee ballots will favor Murphy, but it's not a done deal.

There can't be more than 200 overseas military voters ...

Why are the absentees expected to favor Murphy?

They are assuming they are military ballots, which typically lean heavily Republican.
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