Nah. But I think McGrath will.
McGrath lost it by 37 points
Elliott is still clearly Democratic by default - it voted for the Democrat in all statewide races last year, and will always vote for a generic D over a generic R. Hillary was uniquely despised there, but obviously Biden is much closer to a generic D. Trump is still far more popular than the average Republican in Appalachia, but I think Elliott could be surprisingly close (although my gut still says a Trump victory).
McGrath wins comfortably.
"Hillary was uniquely despised". I heard this about Obama too.
Fake news!
Elliott County is definitely going to trend left this year. Trump will likely still win it, but it’s not gonna be MORE R than 2016.
It did in fact get more R than 2016.
No, but it'll vote left of the state.
Voted 25 points to the right of the state
Maybe you guys should stop trying to predict Elliott County from now on?
I’ll hold my hands up - I got this one very wrong. It was ultimately a case of Trump being uniquely loved, rather than Hillary being uniquely despised, and he brought out lots of people for McConnell. 2020 vs 2019 shows the sheer power of Trump’s presence on the ballot.
It’s hard to know what to think about 2023 - Trump won’t be on the ballot, and off-year elections benefit Dems more broadly here, but Elliot’s GOP trend is undeniable. A redux of 2019 or 2020 are both possible.
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