USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)

[Real Texan Politics]

VP Michelle Fischbach in 2024 anybody??

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

NJ came close to gaining a seat this census, what makes you think it will lose a seat next census?

I didn't even realize that many people were moving there.

Guess I'll go fix that. Sorry Utah, you're only gaining 1 vote from me instead of 2.

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin "gaining" a seat?   

Also I think you're a bit too hopeful on the Midwest in general.

If by "gaining" you mean losing then yea.

Then again a lot can happen in 10 years so who knows what'll happen. I just did this for fun.

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin "gaining" a seat?  

Also I think you're a bit too hopeful on the Midwest in general.

It's likely Wisconsin loses a seat and MN just retains it's 8 seats...MN is on path to overtake WI population by end of this decade

One of the reasons I took away a seat from Wisconsin, but maybe either Minnesota remains with 10 seats or grows too slow so they get a seat taken from them too.

Edit: Went back to my prediction and kept all of Minnesota's seats and Florida only gains 1 instead of 2.

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin "gaining" a seat?   

Also I think you're a bit too hopeful on the Midwest in general.

His map is electoral votes, not House seats.  It does show those states losing a seat each.

And now I have Minnesota keeping all of its seats assuming it passes Wisconsin in population (and grows faster than WI or WI loses population).

[Real Texan Politics]

NORTH CAROLINA UNDERPERFORMANCE: 10,439,388 (Projected to be 10,576,099)

100k people gone!

I’m calling it. NC will surpass GA in population.

I'm sorry Vern, looks like we both were wrong.

I an shock. I bet we lost more in the Mtns than I realized.

Probably made up for it in Raleigh/Durham though.

[Real Texan Politics]

Anyone have the first 2030 estimates? lol

No but here's my prediction.

I don't see Tennessee gaining a seat by then at all.

Haven't gained a seat since 1980, but I'm pretty sure Nashville's grown quite a bit since then?

Not to mention TN has grown by at least 2 million since 1980, and should definitely cross 7 million in total population by 2030.

[Real Texan Politics]

Also any idea when we'll be getting results for the biggest cities in the country? I wonder if the city of Austin's population has crossed 1 million.

[Real Texan Politics]

The house size needs to be expanded. The undercount is so obvious here

More than likely if they ever do it'll be if Puerto Rico becomes a state. Otherwise they gotta sacrifice 6 EC votes from some states, and I don't see that going over so well....

[Real Texan Politics]

For anyone who wants to see the full list of cities with over 100k without having to download an excel chart:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_population

[Real Texan Politics]

Something I realized is that the July 1, 2020 estimate for Austin's population puts it at 995,484.

Considering the city's rapid growth, and considering it's been almost a year since that estimate, I think it's safe to say that Austin has now surpassed 1 million people in its city limits, making its northern Texas neighbor Fort Worth the largest city in the United States to have less than 1 million people (which it should surpass by 2025). That now means that 11 cities in the USA now have 1 million people or more.

By the 2030 census, besides Austin and Fort Worth, I would expect the following cities to surpass 1 million people:

Jacksonville, Florida
Columbus, Ohio
Charlotte, North Carolina

This would make 15 cities with a population of 1 million or more, and based on growth trends, Seattle would likely become the largest city in the country to have less than 1 million people, as it (along with possibly Denver as well) would likely surpass Indianapolis and San Francisco in population.

Also to add-on, Texas is now the state with the most cities with 1 million people or greater, with 4 cities (Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin) compared to California with only 3 (Los Angeles, San Diego, San Jose).

[Real Texan Politics]

Something I realized is that the July 1, 2020 estimate for Austin's population puts it at 995,484.

Considering the city's rapid growth, and considering it's been almost a year since that estimate, I think it's safe to say that Austin has now surpassed 1 million people in its city limits, making its northern Texas neighbor Fort Worth the largest city in the United States to have less than 1 million people (which it should surpass by 2025). That now means that 11 cities in the USA now have 1 million people or more.

By the 2030 census, besides Austin and Fort Worth, I would expect the following cities to surpass 1 million people:

Jacksonville, Florida
Columbus, Ohio
Charlotte, North Carolina

This would make 15 cities with a population of 1 million or more, and based on growth trends, Seattle would likely become the largest city in the country to have less than 1 million people, as it (along with possibly Denver as well) would likely surpass Indianapolis and San Francisco in population.

Also to add-on, Texas is now the state with the most cities with 1 million people or greater, with 4 cities (Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin) compared to California with only 3 (Los Angeles, San Diego, San Jose).

Is Columbus' growth that rapid? I would've thought most of the growth would be outside the city limits.

It grew by 14.84%, from 787,033 in 2010 to 903,852 in 2020.

[Real Texan Politics]

Random piece of data I just noticed: the Washington-Baltimore-Arlington Combined Statistical Area has overtaken Chicago-Naperville as the 3rd largest CSA in the US, with San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland set to soon follow. In a couple years, Chicago may be down to the fifth largest CSA after being third for decades.

Those darn tech jobs...

Also Dallas-Fort Worth might surpass Chicago's CSA in about 10 years time as well, likely for the same reason as San Jose-San Francisco's growth.