What is your current prediction for November?
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  What is your current prediction for November?
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Poll
Question: What is your current prediction for November?
#1
Huge Biden win, no vote-by-mail issues
 
#2
Comfortable Biden win, a few reports of VBM issues
 
#3
Narrow Biden win, numerous reports of VBM issues
 
#4
Narrow Trump win, highly suspicious results and VBM issues
 
#5
Huge Trump win, clear as day voter suppression
 
#6
Trump wins fairly with no reports of VBM issues
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 145

Author Topic: What is your current prediction for November?  (Read 2644 times)
EJ24
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« on: August 17, 2020, 07:34:28 PM »

What is your current prediction for November?
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2020, 07:35:36 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol
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EJ24
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« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2020, 07:36:38 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol

Because the issue isn't very neutral. One candidate is openly sabotaging the postal service in an attempt to prevent vote by mail and one isn't. Try living in reality.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2020, 07:53:36 PM »

A huge Trump win looks too suspicious. I think it'll be a narrow Trump win due to voter suppression.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2020, 07:57:34 PM »

Narrow Trump with large evidence of voter supression.
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Horus
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« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2020, 07:59:04 PM »

2 and 4 are the only realistic possibilities. Chose 4.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2020, 08:14:03 PM »

Biden wins 278 map like Cook, 538 and Sabato has it and a tied Senate, pending GA runoffs, Robert's stops the petty recounts and Biden is certified winner so Electors can vote on 12/7. As long as intention of voters are clear, you have to count ballots.

It wont be any 400 or 10 pt landslide Clinton and Obama won by 7.5 and only Bush Sr in 1988 won that
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2020, 08:21:09 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol

Because the issue isn't very neutral. One candidate is openly sabotaging the postal service in an attempt to prevent vote by mail and one isn't. Try living in reality.

You’re right.  The issue isn’t very neutral when you have governors like Murphy using executive action to drop millions of unrequested mail-in ballots in New Jersey.  That’s essentially vote harvesting. 
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2020, 08:39:20 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol

Because the issue isn't very neutral. One candidate is openly sabotaging the postal service in an attempt to prevent vote by mail and one isn't. Try living in reality.

You’re right.  The issue isn’t very neutral when you have governors like Murphy using executive action to drop millions of unrequested mail-in ballots in New Jersey.  That’s essentially vote harvesting. 

Sorry that democracy offends you
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2020, 08:40:48 PM »

6. There won't be an election, because Trump overthrows Congress and declares himself President for Life with the backing of the military.
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MainstreamCon
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2020, 08:50:20 PM »

I went with option 3. I think this election will be close with Biden pulling out a small victory. There will be a few issues with vbm though.
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McGarnagle
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« Reply #11 on: August 17, 2020, 09:54:25 PM »



Biden 353 EV ~52%
Trump 185 EV ~45%
Jorgensen ~1%
West ~1%
Hawkins ~0.5%
Others ~0.5%

Ohio and Texas are really, really close
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dunceDude
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« Reply #12 on: August 17, 2020, 10:07:00 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol

Because the issue isn't very neutral. One candidate is openly sabotaging the postal service in an attempt to prevent vote by mail and one isn't. Try living in reality.

You’re right.  The issue isn’t very neutral when you have governors like Murphy using executive action to drop millions of unrequested mail-in ballots in New Jersey.  That’s essentially vote harvesting. 

What's being referenced here is that Governor Murphy is mailing VBM ballots with pre-paid postage to all active registered voters. It's being compared with squeezing the post office to ensure voters *can't* vote by mail during a pandemic.

Your sentiment is truly anti-American.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #13 on: August 17, 2020, 10:29:13 PM »

Narrow Trump win.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #14 on: August 17, 2020, 10:30:42 PM »

A huge Trump win looks too suspicious. I think it'll be a narrow Trump win due to voter suppression.

Narrow Trump with large evidence of voter supression.

Always strikes me how many times you two post back-to-back in the same threads with the same voter suppression take
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ctrepublican512
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« Reply #15 on: August 17, 2020, 10:32:27 PM »

This framing doesn't seem very neutral lol

Because the issue isn't very neutral. One candidate is openly sabotaging the postal service in an attempt to prevent vote by mail and one isn't. Try living in reality.

You’re right.  The issue isn’t very neutral when you have governors like Murphy using executive action to drop millions of unrequested mail-in ballots in New Jersey.  That’s essentially vote harvesting. 

Steve Watkins and NC-09 say hello. This whataboutism scourges our party's image and you should be embarrassed for yourself
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Chips
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« Reply #16 on: August 17, 2020, 10:42:19 PM »

The second option.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #17 on: August 17, 2020, 11:48:36 PM »

A huge Trump win looks too suspicious. I think it'll be a narrow Trump win due to voter suppression.

Narrow Trump with large evidence of voter supression.

Always strikes me how many times you two post back-to-back in the same threads with the same voter suppression take

I mean I don't know how you can ignore what's happening right in front of you
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
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« Reply #18 on: August 18, 2020, 12:06:08 AM »

Why isn't "Comfortable Biden win, numerous reports of VBM issues" an option?
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KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸
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« Reply #19 on: August 18, 2020, 12:08:13 AM »

It's wayyyyyyyy too early in the election cycle to call it a 'comfortable Biden win with a few reports of VBM issues'. Anything can happen in September or October.
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Horatii
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« Reply #20 on: August 18, 2020, 12:35:05 AM »
« Edited: August 18, 2020, 12:39:00 AM by Horatii »

Americans will always find a way to blame someone else to ignore the nature of their own country. If Trump wins, mass voter suppression! China is to blame for the virus! Russia elected Trump! blah, blah, blah.

I'd be far more concerned about the voting by mail system being corrupted and hurting Trump, not helping him. Every corporation in America despises him and his supporters, every organization pushes that he's basically Satan, and it's only culturally acceptable to be a leftist. Of course those handling the votes will be 1000 times more likely to mishandle things to the benefit of Biden.

What can Trump do? Trash them on Twitter a little?
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #21 on: August 18, 2020, 12:40:39 AM »

Overwhelming Biden victory, extreme levels of voter fraud which will get almost no media coverage.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #22 on: August 18, 2020, 01:00:50 AM »

Either

1. Michigan Senator Gary Peters wins all 50 states

or

2. Comfortable Biden EC/PV win with only a few reports of VBM issues -- Biden +8 in the PV, 2016 + NE-02 + AZ + PA + FL + MI + WI + GA (closest states are NC, TX, GA).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: August 18, 2020, 01:03:41 AM »

Either

1. Michigan Senator Gary Peters wins all 50 states

or

2. Comfortable Biden EC/PV win with only a few reports of VBM issues -- Biden +8 in the PV, 2016 + NE-02 + AZ + PA + FL + MI + WI + GA (closest states are NC, TX, GA).

KS with Bollier is gonna be closer than OH or TX, it's a competetive open seat
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #24 on: August 18, 2020, 02:05:12 AM »

6. There won't be an election, because Trump overthrows Congress and declares himself President for Life with the backing of the military.
I agree as well. I honestly think that Donald Trump will find a way to stay in power until he dies sometime in the 2030s or 2040s. After his death, Donald Trump Jr. will probably take over as President.
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