Between 5-10% -unless I have seriously misjudged my state's residual conservatism and Republican allegiance.
How about polling? I haven't seen a legit poll that has Warner winning by less than 14.
I am basing my predictions on past performance by other statewide Democratic candidates -and his own. And because it's a midterm year in what is still a conservative state. If these poll results still hold true by the end of the month, I'll shift my predictions.
Until then, I guess I'll be the cautious one.
Voted for Obama twice,
barely
Both of whom were elected in presidential election years, one of which was a wave election.
Over a radical, Tea-Party affiliated Republican nominated in a convention -too conservative even for many Republicans in the state.
It still is.
Wasn't it closest to the national vote in both 2008 and 2012? I wouldn't call that barely, especially in 2008.
Fair enough on the Senators, but Warner likely would've won by a blowout no matter what year he ran in.
Yes, Cuccinelli was a horrible candidate, but so was McAuliffe.