Mark Warner's Margin of Victory (user search)
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  Mark Warner's Margin of Victory (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How hard will Mark Warner curb-stomp Ed Gillespie?
#1
5-10%
 
#2
10%-20%
 
#3
20-25%
 
#4
25-30%
 
#5
30-40%
 
#6
>40%
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: Mark Warner's Margin of Victory  (Read 3529 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: September 14, 2014, 01:08:48 PM »

Gillespie will win.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2014, 01:09:37 PM »


Just out of curiosity, who are you voting for?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2014, 03:38:52 PM »

Why there isn't the option "Gillespie by 0-5%"?
Tongue Tongue

I personally want a Gillespie by >40% option.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2014, 05:16:28 PM »

Between 5-10% -unless I have seriously misjudged my state's residual conservatism and Republican allegiance.  

How about polling? I haven't seen a legit poll that has Warner winning by less than 14.

I am basing my predictions on past performance by other statewide Democratic candidates -and his own.  And because it's a midterm year in what is still a conservative state. If these poll results still hold true by the end of the month, I'll shift my predictions.  

Until then, I guess I'll be the cautious one.  
Voted for Obama twice,

barely

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Both of whom were elected in presidential election years, one of which was a wave election.

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Over a radical, Tea-Party affiliated Republican nominated in a convention -too conservative even for many Republicans in the state.

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It still is. 

Wasn't it closest to the national vote in both 2008 and 2012? I wouldn't call that barely, especially in 2008.

Fair enough on the Senators, but Warner likely would've won by a blowout no matter what year he ran in.

Yes, Cuccinelli was a horrible candidate, but so was McAuliffe.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2014, 12:09:52 AM »

Well yeah, but I never said Virginia was solidly blue, I just agreed with interstate73 that it wasn't a conservative bastion.
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