General Election 2010 Forum Forecasts

[k-onmmunist]

Kudos to Cameron for just calling Nick Griffin a "ghastly piece of filth" and for hailing Sayeeda Warsi.

Cameron and Griffin are both HPs. Liberal Party '10!

[k-onmmunist]

What are the chances of a hung parliament? That would be the most amusing results.

Not 100% sure but it's beginning to look increasingly likely. The Tories are shedding alot of points in the polls right now.

[k-onmmunist]

Kudos to Cameron for just calling Nick Griffin a "ghastly piece of filth" and for hailing Sayeeda Warsi.

Cameron and Griffin are both HPs. Liberal Party '10!

LOL. You know Steve Radford and the Liberals are way on the left these days, right? Sort of ironic that the party formed because they thought the Social and Liberal Democrats were too much on the left ended up way to the left of either the Lib Dems or Labour.

Edit: Apparently Radford is no longer the leader of the Liberals. No idea about this new Wheway chap.

You seem to know alot about British politics... are you British, Verily?

The Liberals are pretty left yeah, but I agree with most of their policies. I'm a moderate on the economy, and far-left on foreign and civil issues.

[k-onmmunist]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=gallery;sa=view;id=2591

Is that Barking you have as a Lab-BNP (I assume) marginal?

Fortunately he has Barking as Labour Two adjacent seats are (Lab-Con) marginals (Ilford South and Erith and Thamesmead)

Good.

Barking's the one that'll have me on edge on election night. :/

Even if the BNP do win, so what? One seat doesn't make the slightest bit of difference.

[k-onmmunist]

East Anglia (as was)

...Ouch

[k-onmmunist]

...Ouch

Ouch as in there's rather too much blue on that map or Where's the red?

Both. I knew East Anglia was very Tory but.. damn.

[k-onmmunist]

I have 2 questions:

What happens if no party achieved a majority? Will we then see a coalition in the UK and who can form a coalition with whom?

The leader of the largest party will become Prime Minister. He is likely to attempt to run a minority government, preferring longterm instability to shortterm constitutional improvising that could backfire. A coalition *might* become an option, if the conditions are just right (ie Labour-LD or Tory-LD has a solid majority but Labour or the Tories are quite far from a majority of their own) but it's unlikelyish even then.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The first is highly improbable. The latter is impossible.

Actually, both are impossible. But UKIP actually has slightly more chance than the BNP