CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[nerd73]

Big OC update coming In a minute

Nuclear takes incoming

[nerd73]

So, what are the seats with no Democratic challengers currently? I know NC-3 doesn't have one.

[nerd73]

Correct and potentially devastating take -->

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/no-democrats-haven-t-shown-they-re-going-win-house-n880516

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I now view the chance of a Democratic flip of the House as less than 30% in my mind. Absolutely no sign that they are replicating Clinton numbers in wealthy, minority heavy, suburban districts that they need to flip.

I can't wait until you promise to leave this forum if Democrats take the House and then less than 24 hours after the election you break that promise.

“What I said was win the House AND WY-Sen and well they only did one so I’m not going.”

So how did Democrats pickup WY-Sen while losing the house?

[nerd73]

So the district with the only real danger of lockout is one they wouldn't win anyway (CA-08).

[nerd73]

My reaction if this becomes an exact tie.

Remember the good old days when a court and a hat caused the GOP to retain their majority in the Virginia HoD?