Era of the New Majority

[Mike Thick]

It's a disaster! If this keeps up, Sandoval's toast in 2028!

Love the timeline, keep up the good work!

[Mike Thick]

Whew! That wraps up Election '26. I may have gone a little overboard with the number of Democratic pickups in the House, TBH. I wasn't expecting it to add up to 70+, which is where it will likely be once I add everything up. I actually held back on a few districts I had intended to flip, I'm glad I did.

Anyways! Thoughts, comments?

70+ may be a huge wave, but given all the craziness that's happened recently it's not unrealistic. Looking forward to 2028!

[Mike Thick]

It is the largest single-election flip of House seats in American history (citation needed).

This is definitely a huge swing, but it isn't the biggest in history. In 1894, the Republicans gained a brain-blastingly huge 130 seats. However, it's certainly the largest in recent memory.

[Mike Thick]

This is, by far, the longest (posts) timeline I've seen on this forum. How far out do you plan to continue this?

EDIT: Forgot to say that this is easily my favorite TL.

[Mike Thick]

This is, by far, the longest (posts) timeline I've seen on this forum. How far out do you plan to continue this?

EDIT: Forgot to say that this is easily my favorite TL.

As of right now, I have half-formed ideas for all the way out to 2052 at least on the US side, with a much clearer picture of what will happen up to roughly 2034/36 (I keep switching between two people winning '36, having trouble deciding). Whether I decide to actually go that far is another question. The truth with many foreign elections is that I come up with the results essentially as I write them.

I may scale a little back on the details and do quarterly updates (i.e. Jan-Mar, Apr-June) instead so I can focus more on elections and long-form entries and write-ups. The monthly updates are my least favorite to do, personally, but feedback on that is welcome from the readers.

Jeez! I guess it makes sense -- it's the Era of the New Majority, not the decade! Keep up the great work!

[Mike Thick]

I figured we haven't heard the last of Cruz.

When I saw your signature, I realized that there's something of a Pat Buchanan parallel here.

[Mike Thick]

What does everyone think of the new-ish format, with the more longform style articles? Keep them or dump them?

I like them, as long as it doesn't slow the progress of the TL too much (and it hasn't so far).

[Mike Thick]

RIP Republicans, FF

Seriously -- let's get to rebuilding. Eric Greitens 2032/2036!

[Mike Thick]

What's currently (OTL) CA-26, please!

[Mike Thick]

What's currently (OTL) CA-26, please!

CD Snapshot - This Week: CA-26

The Ventura County Line rumbles into the station, packed to the brim with commuters. Surrounding the station are ten to twelve story apartment blocks, restaurants and little independent shops. This is the new Ventura - a booming, transit-oriented bedroom community in its own right at the edge of Greater Los Angeles.

The county has emerged as a crucial swing area in recent years, belying its Democratic registration advantage. Brian Sandoval narrowly carried it in 2024, while Gavin Newsom ran up crucial margins here in both of his campaigns. Last year, the district was thought of as a key battleground as longtime Rep. Julia Brownley retired and SOS Matt Dababneh moved in to run for the open seat. His opponents called him a carpetbagger and hit him from the left - nevertheless, in a swingy district, the centrist Dababneh went on to win decisively in first the primary and the fall Top Two.

"People here are laid back, they just want efficient, reliable representation," Dababneh, who won two decisive majorities statewide. "These are suburban voters who care about schools, transit and quality of life."

Indeed, Ventura County - which forms the nucleus of the 26th - is one of California's fastest growing areas. Young families priced out of Los Angeles and loathe to live in the San Bernardino Valley are flocking to the beach access and booming subdivisions here. Some boosters imagine that the influx of people here will make Ventura the new "it spot" in Greater Los Angeles.

[Mike Thick]

It lives!

[Mike Thick]

2028 Democratic Presidential Primaries:

Massachusetts Governor Seth Moulton (Nominee)
North Carolina Senator Anthony Foxx
Former California Governor Gavin Newsom

2028 Republican Presidential Primaries:

Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton (Nominee)
Treasury Secretary Paul Ryan
Former Texas Senator Ted Cruz
New Jersey Governor Tom Kean

[Mike Thick]

[Mike Thick]

Housekeeping - I am debating doing every entry as a high-level breakdown of world and US events in two year increments and then giving the people what they want, which I assume is a cavalcade of fictional people winning Congressional races. My goal is to thus wrap my TL up by taking us through the 2052 election, which is when the "New Majority" of diverse, borderline socialist Democratic dominance ends with a realignment favoring a VERY different GOP

Thoughts?

I would love that!

Yeah, this would be great.

[Mike Thick]

Pretty sure I got this right, but y'all are welcome to spot-check my work.