2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

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Anyone else wouldn't mind rain, a thunderstorm or a blizzard on election day?  

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Democratic Governors in NC/PA/WI/MI/NV should reduce the number of election day polling stations for "safety" and to "prevent electoral fraud".

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Why are these great lakes swing states having so much trouble having the count mostly complete on election night when it seems like pretty much all the sunbelt swing states are going to have the votes counted on election night? I don't know if it's the GOP since most of these sunbelt states are and have been under GOP control for a while.

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Man the NC voter file is so detailed and with so many early voters the Biden campaign so much data in that state to literally go and physically turn out D voters that haven't voted yet.

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Day 8 of early voting in Texas (In-person + VBM) (October 20)

HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   486,037     24.3%
2016:   640,503     28.7%  (54.9% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   573,302     24.5%
2020:   801,807     32.3%  (61.1% of 2016 turnout)

DALLAS COUNTY (Dallas)
2012:   281,316     23.9%
2016:   362,549     28.2%  (51.1% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   364,032     27.3%
2020:   444,955     31.8%  (58.6% of 2016 turnout)

TARRANT COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:   266,388     27.3%
2016:   338,919     31.5%  (55.5% of 2012 turnout)  
2018:   314,494     28.0%
2020:   361,959     29.9%  (54.1% of 2016 turnout)

BEXAR COUNTY (San Antonio)
2012:   237,746     25.9%
2016:   308,654     29.5%  (60.1% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   277,326     25.3%
2020:   356,650     30.0%  (60.5% of 2016 turnout)

TRAVIS COUNTY (Austin)
2012:   137,627     18.6%
2016:   249,172     30.9%  (64.4% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   242,780     27.9%
2020:   308,718     31.6%  (65.9% of 2016 turnout)

COLLIN COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:   138,032     30.1%
2016:   209,114     39.0%  (69.1% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   202,385     34.9%
2020:   265,812     41.0%  (73.6% of 2016 turnout)

DENTON COUNTY (Dallas suburbs)
2012:   107,145     27.7%
2016:   157,651     33.9%  (64.9% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   154,629     31.1%
2020:   227,816     40.3%  (76.3% of 2016 turnout)

EL PASO COUNTY (El Paso)
2012:     60,645     15.8%
2016:   100,654     23.5%  (58.4% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     98,245     21.6%
2020:   126,788     26.0%  (59.2% of 2016 turnout)

FORT BEND COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:   108,659     32.0%
2016:   143,505     35.5%  (65.4% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   137,365     31.8%
2020:   165,223     34.3%  (63.1% of 2016 turnout)

HIDALGO COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:     67,965     22.3%
2016:     95,218     28.1%  (68.4% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     79,595     22.0%
2020:   107,749     27.5%  (62.1% of 2016 turnout)

WILLIAMSON COUNTY (Austin suburbs)
2012:     66,385     26.2%
2016:   112,568     37.5%  (69.0% of 2012 turnout)
2018:   115,508     34.6%
2020:   155,785     41.3%  (76.7% of 2016 turnout)

MONTGOMERY COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:     82,370     31.1%
2016:   104,503     33.5%  (60.4% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     96,473     28.9%
2020:   113,701     30.7%  (55.6% of 2016 turnout)

GALVESTON COUNTY (Houston suburbs)
2012:     56,025     30.2%
2016:     72,446     34.8%  (65.8% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     65,096     30.6%
2020:     83,773     36.7%  (68.2% of 2016 turnout)

CAMERON COUNTY (Rio Grande Valley)
2012:     26,144     14.5%
2016:     41,294     20.9%  (53.7% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     37,890     18.3%
2020:     57,123     26.1%  (62.0% of 2016 turnout)

NUECES COUNTY (Corpus Christi)
2012:     39,029     20.3%
2016:     48,267     24.2%  (50.2% of 2012 turnout)
2018:     46,724     22.8%
2020:     66,335     31.3%  (63.5% of 2016 turnout)

Where do you get the "number thus far in EV in 2016/2018" from? Do you know how Randall County and Lubbock County are in turnout relative to 16/18? I wanna see if these two decently sized strongly GOP counties in the panhandle are showing a spike in turnout like these metro area counties are.

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Electronic voting machines might as well be "online voting" in terms of security. It's not like they exist outside the internet, as they all need to have access to software patches, updates, etc.

Aren't they air-gapped though during normal operations and only "online" during maintenance?

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Looks like PA there was a problem with some of the counties reporting. They seem to be coming in better/faster now, esp the suburbs.

Dems have now returned 51% of their ballots. Reps only 36%.

Dems @ 947K vs. Reps 263K.

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1319303007381704704

Am I misreading this, or is this an absolute disaster for the GOP? It looks like this kind of got glossed over. Even if 25% of those D votes are "ancestral Democrats" voting for Republicans, that's still a 210,000 vote deficit for the GOP at this point.

Unlike FL/AZ/NV which have a culture of early voting, PA has never had no-excuse early voting until this election cycle. So when GOP voters in FL/AZ/NV hear Trump cast doubts on mail/early voting they pay less attention to it as they have been voting in that manner for years. PA Rs are going to be more skeptical of mail or early voting because they have never done it and their president is calling it unsafe. Of all the swing states GOP is going to have to rely on election day voting probably the most in PA.

It is kinda ironic because non-college white turnout is much lower than college whites turnout and even lower than african american turnout. It would have been in Trump's best strategic interest to encourage early voting to maximize the chances of turning out more non-college whites, but he did the exact opposite.

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I am so proud of everyone for not taking "Single Issue Covid Voter"'s bait thus far. I hope ya'll can keep that up and stop letting that man get a rise out of you.

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considering that GOP will win  the ED very big, 426K is not enough for dems. 

FL is not like PA where most of the R vote is gonna come on Election Day. GOP is only running a few points behind their registration in FL.

Total Registration

D: 37%
R: 35.69%

EV votes by party reg:

D: 39.8
R: 32.6

So it is not some vast difference and there is going to be less ED vote for GOP than folks think.

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PA is the state where Trump and the state GOP probably wishes they hadn't attacked vote by mail so much. Looking at the returns that is where Trump's attacks on VBM have impacted GOP votes the most (and to a lesser extent IA). Amplifying that is that PA technically doesn't have EV in the traditional sense and you "Early Vote" by dropping off your mail ballot. GOP voters will most likey cut the current lopsided margins as they start to catch up to the Ds in the return rate but still...

Not saying Trump can't win there but they have left a huge lift for election which maynot be easy as non senior WWC voters are not terribly reliable or consistent voters. It likely doesn't change much in a lopsided election but could be critical on the margins if PA is a 1-2 point final result.

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If TX keeps up this pace they might exceed 2016 turnout by this time next week.

Really would like to see better turnout in rural hispanic areas. Hopefully we see those counties spike this weekend with voters voting after attending church services.