2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 167903 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2450 on: October 21, 2020, 12:21:11 PM »

Surprised no one is talking about Nebraska, where 310K people have already voted, and a plurality is still Democrats. They also have a much higher return rate among mail-ins than Reps do - 70% vs 57%

Probably because NE-SEN is not competitive because of Dems splitting between Janicek and the write-in.

You do have to wonder if at some point NE-01 becomes competitive for president. My assumption is probably not, but with a year as weird as 2020 has been it might not be impossible.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2451 on: October 21, 2020, 12:25:05 PM »


Ughhhh.

For the 100th time: these lines are an abomination !

I wonder when the US will have a system in place like other civilized Western countries that allow people to go in, vote and leave within 5 minutes ?

2050 ?

2100 ?
I mean it's early voting and alot of people want to vote right away. Most states don't go on full capacity until election day

A smart state with good planning and logistics would go on full capacity on day 1 of early voting and also outfit the state with enough polling places and steer people towards those polling places to reduce lines.

They knew for half a year that this would happen !

Most US states are not smart. They are dumb.

They should look at smart cities like Vienna to study how it’s done !

For f**ks sake: even one person turning around and heading back home after waiting 5 hours in line, deciding not to vote at all as a result, is one person too much !
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mijan
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« Reply #2452 on: October 21, 2020, 12:35:43 PM »

608 k people already voted early in Iowa.
IA 1
D  88.5 k
R 43.8 k
D +44.7 k

IA 2
D 87.1 k
R 42.9 k
D +44.2 k

IA 3
D 87.8 k
R 45.4 k
D + 42.4 k

IA 4

D 56.7 k
R 52.4 k
D + 4.3 k

Total
D 320.2 k
R 184.4 k
D + 135.8 k


842459 requested absentee ballot in IA till today.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #2453 on: October 21, 2020, 12:36:31 PM »

I'm assuming that voting online will probably become a thing in the next couple decades, it's kind of the only current civic engagement you can't do online. This rendering these lines moot.

As of now I believe Estonia is the only country in the world that allows it, but I can't see it failing to spread.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2454 on: October 21, 2020, 12:37:50 PM »

The return rates are astonishing in Iowa. Dems are at nearly 80% with 13 days to go.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #2455 on: October 21, 2020, 12:38:37 PM »

I'm assuming that voting online will probably become a thing in the next couple decades, it's kind of the only current civic engagement you can't do online. This rendering these lines moot.

As of now I believe Estonia is the only country in the world that allows it, but I can't see it failing to spread.

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2456 on: October 21, 2020, 12:39:24 PM »

PA update: 1.18 million have now voted. Dems still account for 72% of returns (847K) versus 227k (19%) for Republicans.

Dem return rate at 46.4%, Rep return rate still lagging at 31.9%.
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mijan
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« Reply #2457 on: October 21, 2020, 12:41:46 PM »

The return rates are astonishing in Iowa. Dems are at nearly 80% with 13 days to go.
R needs a very high turnout on election day or Trump is done there.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2458 on: October 21, 2020, 12:42:07 PM »

I'm assuming that voting online will probably become a thing in the next couple decades, it's kind of the only current civic engagement you can't do online. This rendering these lines moot.

As of now I believe Estonia is the only country in the world that allows it, but I can't see it failing to spread.



The cartoon reminds of a quote I once saw: "If contractors built buildings the same way that programmers write software, the first woodpecker to come along would destroy civilization."
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2459 on: October 21, 2020, 12:44:11 PM »

Thought experiment: if 2016 had had the same proportion/timing of early vote as 2020, would Clinton have won?
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GP270watch
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« Reply #2460 on: October 21, 2020, 12:52:45 PM »

Thought experiment: if 2016 had had the same proportion/timing of early vote as 2020, would Clinton have won?

 She would have certainly won Florida. I am not familiar with other states to say definitively but I can guess Wisconsin and Michigan would have been in her column as well.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2461 on: October 21, 2020, 12:53:17 PM »

I'm assuming that voting online will probably become a thing in the next couple decades, it's kind of the only current civic engagement you can't do online. This rendering these lines moot.

As of now I believe Estonia is the only country in the world that allows it, but I can't see it failing to spread.

Online voting is quite possibly the worst idea ever. We would never have a secure election for the rest of our lives. Whether it's China, Russia, or some domestic group, the election would be hacked.
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mijan
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« Reply #2462 on: October 21, 2020, 12:58:00 PM »

PA update: 1.18 million have now voted. Dems still account for 72% of returns (847K) versus 227k (19%) for Republicans.

Dem return rate at 46.4%, Rep return rate still lagging at 31.9%.
D +620 k
Unstoppable D across PA,MI,WI,MN,IA.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2463 on: October 21, 2020, 01:04:40 PM »

online voting seems like a bad idea. Im against it.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2464 on: October 21, 2020, 01:12:03 PM »

Electronic voting machines might as well be "online voting" in terms of security. It's not like they exist outside the internet, as they all need to have access to software patches, updates, etc.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #2465 on: October 21, 2020, 01:13:46 PM »


Ughhhh.

For the 100th time: these lines are an abomination !

I wonder when the US will have a system in place like other civilized Western countries that allow people to go in, vote and leave within 5 minutes ?

2050 ?

2100 ?
I strongly agree. I have voted in every danish election at every level since 1993 and have never stood in line for more than a couple of minutes. We are talking shorter lines than in the supermarket. And in Denmark we have voter participation rates of 85% and barely anybody votes by mail or votes early. Virtually the entire population votes on election day. It can absolutely be done to eliminate lines and should be done in any civilized country.

Also, every citizen is automatically registrered to vote when they turn 18 and every citizen is automatically mailed their voter card before every election. It’s not rocket science.
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ExSky
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« Reply #2466 on: October 21, 2020, 01:15:22 PM »

So...let me get this straight.
It is apparently a good thing for Democrats that there is extremely high in-person voter turnout in Texas....but in nearly every other state we have data, Republicans outnumber Democrats with the in-person vote?

Funny. Almost....as if....Texas...has a...very....restrictive...mail in ballot option

I went slow so you could understand.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #2467 on: October 21, 2020, 01:16:19 PM »

Upon some research online voting actually IS legal in 20 US states, but only for people living internationally.

Estonia is still the only country to universally allow it, although Switzerland planned on doing so for their last election but canceled those plans after gaping security holes were found.

So it's still aways away. I'm just not convinced it'll never come.
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Sir Tiki
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« Reply #2468 on: October 21, 2020, 01:31:50 PM »

I just dropped off my ballot and two of my sisters ballots. Smiley Next are my parents and sister's fiance, who are going to early vote.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2469 on: October 21, 2020, 01:40:00 PM »

NC 10/20, day 6 early in-person vote:

Dem 99618 (35.4%)
Rep 101656 (36.1%)
Una 80452 (28.6%)
Total 281726

compared to day 5 in 2016

Dem 70132 (44.4%)
Rep 48998 (31.1%)
Una 38531 (24.4%)
Total 157661

Current Total (in-person only)

Dem 616933 (41.4%)
Rep 468767 (31.5%)
Una 403866 (27.1%)
Total 1489566

Current Total (cumulative absentee)

Dem 941926 (43.9%)
Rep 592220 (27.6%)
Una 613188 (28.6%)
Total 2147334

GOP gets their first single day early vote win in NC narrowly, but Dems still increase the total raw ballot lead slightly due to mail-in ballots

Is there a place you're taking this info from? Is it Election Project or the actual SoS data?

Also, what were the final numbers in NC in 2016?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2470 on: October 21, 2020, 01:41:09 PM »


Ughhhh.

For the 100th time: these lines are an abomination !

I wonder when the US will have a system in place like other civilized Western countries that allow people to go in, vote and leave within 5 minutes ?

2050 ?

2100 ?
I strongly agree. I have voted in every danish election at every level since 1993 and have never stood in line for more than a couple of minutes. We are talking shorter lines than in the supermarket. And in Denmark we have voter participation rates of 85% and barely anybody votes by mail or votes early. Virtually the entire population votes on election day. It can absolutely be done to eliminate lines and should be done in any civilized country.

Also, every citizen is automatically registrered to vote when they turn 18 and every citizen is automatically mailed their voter card before every election. It’s not rocket science.

!!!

I hope there is a prolonged time of bi-partisanship after Trump gets booted and the US will look at our voting systems here and then pass a comprehensive election reform amendment into its constitution.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #2471 on: October 21, 2020, 01:44:11 PM »


Ughhhh.

For the 100th time: these lines are an abomination !

I wonder when the US will have a system in place like other civilized Western countries that allow people to go in, vote and leave within 5 minutes ?

2050 ?

2100 ?
I strongly agree. I have voted in every danish election at every level since 1993 and have never stood in line for more than a couple of minutes. We are talking shorter lines than in the supermarket. And in Denmark we have voter participation rates of 85% and barely anybody votes by mail or votes early. Virtually the entire population votes on election day. It can absolutely be done to eliminate lines and should be done in any civilized country.

Also, every citizen is automatically registrered to vote when they turn 18 and every citizen is automatically mailed their voter card before every election. It’s not rocket science.

!!!

I hope there is a prolonged time of bi-partisanship after Trump gets booted and the US will look at our voting systems here and then pass a comprehensive election reform amendment into its constitution.
Fat chance, but yes indeed, that should happen.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #2472 on: October 21, 2020, 01:54:24 PM »


Ughhhh.

For the 100th time: these lines are an abomination !

I wonder when the US will have a system in place like other civilized Western countries that allow people to go in, vote and leave within 5 minutes ?

2050 ?

2100 ?
I strongly agree. I have voted in every danish election at every level since 1993 and have never stood in line for more than a couple of minutes. We are talking shorter lines than in the supermarket. And in Denmark we have voter participation rates of 85% and barely anybody votes by mail or votes early. Virtually the entire population votes on election day. It can absolutely be done to eliminate lines and should be done in any civilized country.

Also, every citizen is automatically registrered to vote when they turn 18 and every citizen is automatically mailed their voter card before every election. It’s not rocket science.

!!!

I hope there is a prolonged time of bi-partisanship after Trump gets booted and the US will look at our voting systems here and then pass a comprehensive election reform amendment into its constitution.

You have a profound misunderstanding of American politics if you think that has a >0% chance of happening.
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Storr
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« Reply #2473 on: October 21, 2020, 02:26:21 PM »
« Edited: October 21, 2020, 06:39:41 PM by Storr »


Update: 61,687 votes so far.

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1319054659550674944?s=20
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #2474 on: October 21, 2020, 02:31:34 PM »

Georgia: As of noon, 81,335 votes have been cast in Georgia (in-person & mail). Total EV as of noon is 1,993,380.
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