AZ-SEN Class 1: Kelli or not-Kelli? (user search)
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  AZ-SEN Class 1: Kelli or not-Kelli? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Could Martha McSally become the establishment candidate?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Maybe
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: AZ-SEN Class 1: Kelli or not-Kelli?  (Read 65392 times)
Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« on: August 21, 2017, 06:55:58 PM »

If Flake wins the GOP primary, does he win the general?
It depends on the margin and who the dems nominate if he wins by a big margin and the dems nominate some no name state senator than flake crushes but if its close and the democrats nominate someone popular and with name recognition its likely he falls
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Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2017, 08:41:57 PM »

If Flake wins the GOP primary, does he win the general?
It depends on the margin and who the dems nominate if he wins by a big margin and the dems nominate some no name state senator than flake crushes but if its close and the democrats nominate someone popular and with name recognition its likely he falls
It's likely Democrats nominate Kyrsten Sinema. How would Flake do against Sinema?
Hmm Shes managed to widen her lead in every election shes been in which is quite impresive
AZ9 2012
Kyrsten Sinema 48.73%
AZ9 2014
Kyrsten Sinema 54.60%
AZ9 2016
Kyrsten Sinema  60.94%
She's Atheist and Bi but that doesn't seem to hurt her much in this state
If Flake barely survives his primary then she will most definitely win
If Fake crushes it in his primary then it will be a complete tossup
AZ statewide (R+5) is more GOP than AZ-9 (D+4). Who would be favored in a tossup if Flake easily wins the primary? If Flake is easily renominated, would the race be tilt R, 50-50, or tilt D?
Tilt R definetly unless Krysten can out campaign Flake I was saying it was impressive that she managed to widen her margin
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Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2017, 07:45:31 PM »

There is no chance Sinema can win. She has way too much baggage.

Not compared to Chemtrail Kelli:

Amazing video by Team Flake
That was absolutely amazing
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Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2017, 11:54:01 PM »

There is no chance Sinema can win. She has way too much baggage.

she's running against a Senator with an 18% approval rating. A wooden plank with a smiley face on it could probably beat Flake if the election was today.

Flake poll, tool...
ftfy
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Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2017, 12:56:18 PM »

65%
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Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,521


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2017, 06:43:45 PM »

Here are the results of my GCS poll:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bynnt69uB-jIX2NUd290ZENHUVE/view?usp=sharing

As always, I cut, codified, weighted and analyzed the raw data using my own methodology, so I do hope this is more accurate and respectable than a run-of-the-mill GCS poll.

Caveat is that no undecided option was presented to respondents due to lack of space.
Is their anyway to see what areas your polling from cause it good be a lot of people from Phoenix or Tucson
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