2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MasterJedi]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1323712802805067776

Jesus, they're not even trying to hide it anymore.

[MasterJedi]

This has been the best 4 year period of my life and I’ve grown nothing but more liberal in that time. I’m now on path to have a very lucrative career in a few years here. I’m not going to let a few percentages on a tax bill ruin this country for everyone else.

Just wait and see what Biden's policies will do to this country.

Yeah, that Obama growth that was the first few years of Trump growth where SO BAD!

[MasterJedi]

Still at work for 20 min, where are you guys getting the votes from?

[MasterJedi]

Since on the last page will ask again, since I"m still at work for 20 min, where are people getting the results from?

[MasterJedi]

CNN says votes counted in Ohio are supposedly only 29% early vote.

[MasterJedi]

Supposedly CNN have retracted their Virginia call..?

MSNBC still hasn't even called it yet.

I’ve been watching CNN, they never called it for him on air.

[MasterJedi]

I don't think I ever saw VA called on their map on the website. Was it?

No, never called.

[MasterJedi]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

[MasterJedi]

https://twitter.com/PeterSweden7/status/1323817468008099841?s=20

Except CNN never called it for Biden.

[MasterJedi]

Wow, GA, NC, and TX might vote to the left of Florida. WTF

Cubans love their strongman dictators. They just disagree on which side they like.

[MasterJedi]

I won't jinx it, but it's nice that it's quieted down here a bit. 

The amount of early celebration and early despair was absolutely insufferable. 

Think they muted some doomers who were not actually being constructive.

[MasterJedi]

Looks like everywhere is going to approve legal weed today so something positive.

[MasterJedi]

I won't jinx it, but it's nice that it's quieted down here a bit. 

The amount of early celebration and early despair was absolutely insufferable. 

Think they muted some doomers who were not actually being constructive.

Good!

Mods, please add Millennial moderate to your list

Ragging on the “doomers” for weeks and months.

Then when we’re right ... muting us? Sounds fair lol

Shut up, hahahahaha you don’t know what you’re talking about! What are you looking at??!

You mean that’s as productive as “I think Trump will win because X” just condescension from the shy far left Trump vote.

[MasterJedi]

Wisconsin could still be a heartbreaker. Will depend on city of Milwaukee turnout as rural Wississippi will always be strong.

[MasterJedi]

Biden doing slightly better in WOW, Trump better in rural areas. Milwaukee votes won’t be counted until 5am and might be slightly soft so will be close either way.

[MasterJedi]

Milwaukee votes won’t be in until around 5am.

[MasterJedi]

GA done counting for the night, Christ.

[MasterJedi]

This is shaping up to be a LOT like 2018. Florida goes bad, everyone freaks the fu—k out, then we slowly learn over the course of the night that just about everywhere else is fine.

We might even still win Georgia LOL. And to think we had doomers dooming, Trumpers gloating, and everyone pointing fingers and arguing over the cause of this “loss” that was never very likely to actually occur.

Convince me I'm wrong. How does Biden win Wisconsin when Trump has 1,000 more votes in Lafayette than he got in 2016? The polls giving Biden the edge were predicated on Trump losing those voters hard, but I just don't see a Democrat path to victory in Wisconsin without the Southwest. Wisconsin doesn't have the same disproportionately D favouring, late arriving mail ins that

For reference, in 2018 Baldwin won Lafayette by her exact margin of victory (55%) and Scott Walker narrowly won it with 1,800 fewer voters. Unless Biden pulls out crazy margins in Milwaukee or dramatically flips the WOW I just don't see a path to victory for him here.

Pennsylvania is obviously harder to tell with the huge D mail in advantage but the same trend appears to be happening there too. Trump already has 54k votes in Erie with less than 60% counted, he only got 60k in 2016 and Romney only got around 40k in 2012. This is a county that Biden was supposed to flip by double digits.

I want my prediction to be 100% right but everything I'm seeing suggests we're far closer to 2016 than 2018. The only potentially redeeming factor for Biden is better suburban margins and turnout, which could definitely save him in Pennsylvania, but if Biden wins Wisconsin on the back of the suburbs I'll eat a sock.

Ok how about for starters Biden is doing 10% better in Dane then Hillary and Evens did?

Add to that Biden doing better in WOW plus most of Milwaukee out, aka a squeaker.

[MasterJedi]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323863787825438720?s=20
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323864021167198209?s=20

Lol, he thinks people are still voting.

[MasterJedi]

So if Biden wins, would he be a lame duck with a GOP Senate and 2022 Midterm stacked against him?

Hammer home how he wants to give another stimulus but Republicans won’t allow it. Mitch won’t give you back your money.

[MasterJedi]

I don't see how Biden can be very confident about winning Wisconsin. What is Biden's path in WI now that Madison (Dane County) is mostly in?

WOW margin down and not much of Milwaukee is in at all.

[MasterJedi]

Santorum is thinking Trump is going to sweep everything lol

[MasterJedi]

Trump can easily still win but if he loses the doomers, especially the big three tonight need to publicly apologize or be tossed from the site.

[MasterJedi]

Are MI and WI done for the night?

Milwaukee is until 5am at the earliest.

[MasterJedi]

So where did the condescending doomers go with their no data just saying "shut and believe me"? Obviously votes still to count, Trump can still win but really looking good for Biden.